The economy is in the tank. No doubt about it. I mean, some economists are debating whether or not we might be headed for a Depression. Jeebus.
It's a little frustrating to see the major financial players lining up at the taxpayer trough with hat in hand. After lobbying for changes in personal bankruptcy law that now enable foreclosure on primary residences, these corporate moguls have a lot of nerve to come to us to save them.
It was particularly annoying to see the CEOs of Ford, GM, and Chrysler all appear before Congress this week. Of course, these idiots had to fly to DC separately in their private jets...didn't they think for one minute what kind of message that sent? And, of course, this circus also gave blowhard conservatives the opportunity to shout about "legacy" costs. What they really mean by "legacy" are the promises that the auto makers made to their employees - things like retirement benefits; health insurance, pensions, etc.
These were negotiated items, collectively bargained for in good faith by the UAW. The companies made promises, workers made career decisions based on those promises, and the companies still made money. Everybody was happy.
Now, though, it seems like the auto makers want the message out there that the UAW must concede to reducing these costs. That may have to happen. The frustrating part, though, is the PR shit storm that the UAW has on it's hands. The UAW didn't do strategic planning for the car companies, executive management did. For years, the car companies resisted making efficient cars, fought air bags, denied global warming, and continued to pump out gas guzzling trucks and SUVs. Now they want to blame "legacy" costs. Bastards.
Congress is doing the right thing asking for a business plan from these idiots before we provide loans that are four or five times the value of the businesses. Congress should also exercise a liberal hand in demanding structural changes in the management of these companies.
Why is this frustrating to me? Well, first of all, it's my tax dollar, too. Second, my brother-in-law called me last night complaining about how much the UAW workers make and that all unions should be busted. I hung up on him. But this is what this situation has led to, and the politics of blame everybody but the real culprits has consequences. There will be a point when there's no place left to hide for these guys, but they simply amaze me with their blame creativity.
Friday, November 21, 2008
Sunday, November 9, 2008
Sometimes Y
Much attention, and deservedly so, has been placed on Obama breaking the race barrier in the Presidency. The very first African-American president is indeed a fantastic achievement.
But there is another first, sort of, that I think is getting very little attention. As in none. Obama is the first president, again, sort of, with a multi-syllabic last name that ends in a vowel. That's right. Sure, we have had four presidents with silent "E"s at the end of their names:
Monroe
Fillmore
Pierce
Coolidge
They don't count.
And we've had one president, Kennedy, who falls into the "sometimes y" rule. But Obama is the first full-fledged, no questions asked, my name ends in a vowel president. There are some people who do not think this is important. They are probably right. Still....
But there is another first, sort of, that I think is getting very little attention. As in none. Obama is the first president, again, sort of, with a multi-syllabic last name that ends in a vowel. That's right. Sure, we have had four presidents with silent "E"s at the end of their names:
Monroe
Fillmore
Pierce
Coolidge
They don't count.
And we've had one president, Kennedy, who falls into the "sometimes y" rule. But Obama is the first full-fledged, no questions asked, my name ends in a vowel president. There are some people who do not think this is important. They are probably right. Still....
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
Election Day
Finally.
I voted. I cast my ballot for Obama and a long list of good Democrats. Retail politics in NH is a funny thing - except for Obama/Biden, I've met every person on the ballot. And from Carol Shea-Porter down, I know each of them personally.
I've had mixed emotions all day. Part of me worries that the Republicans will find a way to steal the election. Part of me is hoping for a landslide victory. Most of me doesn't care how victory is won, just that we win it.
We've been involved in the Obama GOTV efforts here in rural NH. Canvassing all day, visibility at the poll, the Houdini project (checking to make sure our voters vote!), and vote counters after the poll closes (we still use paper ballots in our town.) All totaled, we have close to 50 people volunteering today - in a town of 3,000.
There were three people holding signs for Republicans today - eight for Democrats.
I voted. I cast my ballot for Obama and a long list of good Democrats. Retail politics in NH is a funny thing - except for Obama/Biden, I've met every person on the ballot. And from Carol Shea-Porter down, I know each of them personally.
I've had mixed emotions all day. Part of me worries that the Republicans will find a way to steal the election. Part of me is hoping for a landslide victory. Most of me doesn't care how victory is won, just that we win it.
We've been involved in the Obama GOTV efforts here in rural NH. Canvassing all day, visibility at the poll, the Houdini project (checking to make sure our voters vote!), and vote counters after the poll closes (we still use paper ballots in our town.) All totaled, we have close to 50 people volunteering today - in a town of 3,000.
There were three people holding signs for Republicans today - eight for Democrats.
Monday, November 3, 2008
Mr. President
I'm trying hard not to let my thoughts wander to an Obama victory for a variety reasons. The most of important of which is that I become very emotional. It disturbs me on a visceral level that we built our country through the use of human slaves. I can almost not bear to think about it - the trading and selling of humans, breaking families apart, the beatings, the hardships.
This became difficult for me in 8th grade when I read The Adventures of Huckleberry Finn. When Huck and Jim are on the raft, and Jim tells Huck he's looking to get free so he can earn some money to buy his family back, it hit me hard. I still think about it some 35 years later.
I argued with my aunt a few years ago about whether we'd have a woman or a black president first. We both thought either would be difficult, but she believed that women faced more difficult obstacles. I thought that racism was alive and well in too many states, both south and north, east and west, and it would be too difficult to overcome.
And if you had included into the discussion that the first black president would be named Barack Hussein Obama, I would not have taken it seriously. So, we are on the cusp of our first African-American Presidency. Remarkable.
This became difficult for me in 8th grade when I read The Adventures of Huckleberry Finn. When Huck and Jim are on the raft, and Jim tells Huck he's looking to get free so he can earn some money to buy his family back, it hit me hard. I still think about it some 35 years later.
I argued with my aunt a few years ago about whether we'd have a woman or a black president first. We both thought either would be difficult, but she believed that women faced more difficult obstacles. I thought that racism was alive and well in too many states, both south and north, east and west, and it would be too difficult to overcome.
And if you had included into the discussion that the first black president would be named Barack Hussein Obama, I would not have taken it seriously. So, we are on the cusp of our first African-American Presidency. Remarkable.
Sunday, November 2, 2008
GOTV Fun
We had a great viz this morning. Four of us on NH Route 4, which is a state highway. Honks and waves outnumbered negative reactions, mostly thumbs down, by an unofficial tally of 10 to 1. Billy Shaheen drove by with his entourage in a beat up Chevy (you have to love NH retail politics!) and gave us some horn love.
Our local Grange Hall is campaign headquarters, and a local merchant provided some internet access. Essentially, the access is a 150' long ethernet cable that runs out a window, across the street and into the Grange! I'm sure there are similar stories across the country, but what makes this unique, in my mind, is that the local merchants are Republicans - they're voting hope this election.
I'm heading back down there in an hour or two to set up a wireless router for them.
I've just never had this much fun in a political campaign before.
Our local Grange Hall is campaign headquarters, and a local merchant provided some internet access. Essentially, the access is a 150' long ethernet cable that runs out a window, across the street and into the Grange! I'm sure there are similar stories across the country, but what makes this unique, in my mind, is that the local merchants are Republicans - they're voting hope this election.
I'm heading back down there in an hour or two to set up a wireless router for them.
I've just never had this much fun in a political campaign before.
Tighten This
WMUR is reporting a tightening of the presidential race in NH as Obama's lead has slipped to 11 points.
Bite me.
Bite me.
Two Days
It's Sunday. We have a full day of GOTV ahead of us and I've got to get some work done. Still have to pay bills and eat, and volunteering just doesn't bring home the bacon.
I was tired heading into the weekend. It seems that that tiredness has evolved into a determination to see this through to the end. It's been cold here in NH, and doing the visabilities requires some thermal preparation.
The most surprising and somewhat amusing thing to me is how much I've enjoyed the negative reactions from folks. Believe me, they're few and far between, but every once in a while we get a whack job driving by. At a busy, busy, intersection on a NH highway, we had a nutcase drive by and turn completely backward to holler out the back of his compact pickup truck window. I mean, the guy completely took his eyes off the road for full seconds to holler back. We returned his profanity laced tirade with laughter and waves, and got the bonus of seeing his eyes almost bulge from the sockets!
It's been a great GOTV effort. We've rented the Grange Hall here in our town, and are organizing a small army - around 150 people. Pretty amazing when you realize this is a town of about 3k, and in '04 we had trouble finding folks to do viz at the polls.
Vote Hope.
I was tired heading into the weekend. It seems that that tiredness has evolved into a determination to see this through to the end. It's been cold here in NH, and doing the visabilities requires some thermal preparation.
The most surprising and somewhat amusing thing to me is how much I've enjoyed the negative reactions from folks. Believe me, they're few and far between, but every once in a while we get a whack job driving by. At a busy, busy, intersection on a NH highway, we had a nutcase drive by and turn completely backward to holler out the back of his compact pickup truck window. I mean, the guy completely took his eyes off the road for full seconds to holler back. We returned his profanity laced tirade with laughter and waves, and got the bonus of seeing his eyes almost bulge from the sockets!
It's been a great GOTV effort. We've rented the Grange Hall here in our town, and are organizing a small army - around 150 people. Pretty amazing when you realize this is a town of about 3k, and in '04 we had trouble finding folks to do viz at the polls.
Vote Hope.
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Ain't No Mountain High Enough
I feel compelled to weigh in on the Obama infomercial tonight. What will it be?
My sense is that Obama will re-assure voters about who he is. McCain's been slinging some crap for a couple weeks, and I think Obama will re-affirm his positions on tax policy, health insurance, energy policy, and foreign policy. The big ones.
Now, 1/2 hour is not a lot of time so expectations should be ratcheted down. It would be terrific if Obama had a specialist on to sell these Obama programs. Would it be effective for Warren Buffet to make a 5 minute appearance and sell the Obama tax/economic program? Colin Powell selling the foreign policy?
Does this make sense?
My sense is that Obama will re-assure voters about who he is. McCain's been slinging some crap for a couple weeks, and I think Obama will re-affirm his positions on tax policy, health insurance, energy policy, and foreign policy. The big ones.
Now, 1/2 hour is not a lot of time so expectations should be ratcheted down. It would be terrific if Obama had a specialist on to sell these Obama programs. Would it be effective for Warren Buffet to make a 5 minute appearance and sell the Obama tax/economic program? Colin Powell selling the foreign policy?
Does this make sense?
What's Going On?
McCain's Truman analogies are enough to make me gag. As McCain describes it, the polls are all wrong, and like Harry, his comeback will be the stuff of legend. I suppose when you trail in the polls as McCain does, you need to do some serious morale boosting to keep the campaign going. Who wants to vote for a loser, let alone work for one? McCain must maintain his fictional reading to keep everyone from jumping ship, and lowering turnout.
That said, his use of Truman is offensive to me. Not that I'm a huge Truman fan, mind you - Hiroshima and Nagasaki are the first things that pop in mind when I hear his name - but we'll save that argument for another day. The problem I have is that Truman was a populist, a common man for the common good. In every conceivable way, Truman is the antithesis of McCain.
Truman supported civil rights and a national health care system. Compare that to McCain's complicity in the fear mongering and creating racial tensions. If nothing else, his silence is deafening. McCain deserves everything his poorly run campaign has coming to them. So pay no attention to the man behind the curtain this week. McCain is simply going through the motions trying to stop the train wreck.
Look for for all remaining passengers to get off at the next available stop.
That said, his use of Truman is offensive to me. Not that I'm a huge Truman fan, mind you - Hiroshima and Nagasaki are the first things that pop in mind when I hear his name - but we'll save that argument for another day. The problem I have is that Truman was a populist, a common man for the common good. In every conceivable way, Truman is the antithesis of McCain.
Truman supported civil rights and a national health care system. Compare that to McCain's complicity in the fear mongering and creating racial tensions. If nothing else, his silence is deafening. McCain deserves everything his poorly run campaign has coming to them. So pay no attention to the man behind the curtain this week. McCain is simply going through the motions trying to stop the train wreck.
Look for for all remaining passengers to get off at the next available stop.
Bright, Bright,
Sunshiney Day!
Man it was cold this morning. 34 degrees and windyyyyy. Brrrrrr.
Yet we still had 8 at our viz in our rural, small NH town! We held signs and received cheers from 7 am to 9 am. Our GOTV efforts are in full force - we have canvasses and visibilities scheduled right through election day.
Last night, in a driving rain storm, we turned out 35 volunteers to help plan our GOTV! I am so jazzed! (you know I'm jazzed when I use multiple exclamation marks in one paragraph.)
Another viz scheduled for me at 4 pm. What are you doing?
Man it was cold this morning. 34 degrees and windyyyyy. Brrrrrr.
Yet we still had 8 at our viz in our rural, small NH town! We held signs and received cheers from 7 am to 9 am. Our GOTV efforts are in full force - we have canvasses and visibilities scheduled right through election day.
Last night, in a driving rain storm, we turned out 35 volunteers to help plan our GOTV! I am so jazzed! (you know I'm jazzed when I use multiple exclamation marks in one paragraph.)
Another viz scheduled for me at 4 pm. What are you doing?
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Race for the White House
What is the state of race in the US?
I live a fairly isolated life here in rural NH. We don't have to work at race relations, because, quite frankly, we don't have any diversity to relate to. It's easy for people like me to underestimate the impact of race in areas of the country where race is a factor.
I remember talking to an in-law a few years ago. This particular person grew up in an integrated city in New England, and rationalized a racist perspective on isolated personal experiences. Knowing this person as I do, I'm fairly confident in believing that his distrust and low opinion of minorities is reciprocated in-kind. These types of beliefs are difficult to camouflage, and tend to be reinforcing.
The final results on November 4 will be instructive. My best guess, and what I truly want to believe, is that the vast majority of Americans will vote for who they think can best guide our country during these difficult times. I understand that there is a small segment of our population that will choose a candidate based on skin color alone, but I am resolved to believe it is, indeed, a small segment.
I live a fairly isolated life here in rural NH. We don't have to work at race relations, because, quite frankly, we don't have any diversity to relate to. It's easy for people like me to underestimate the impact of race in areas of the country where race is a factor.
I remember talking to an in-law a few years ago. This particular person grew up in an integrated city in New England, and rationalized a racist perspective on isolated personal experiences. Knowing this person as I do, I'm fairly confident in believing that his distrust and low opinion of minorities is reciprocated in-kind. These types of beliefs are difficult to camouflage, and tend to be reinforcing.
The final results on November 4 will be instructive. My best guess, and what I truly want to believe, is that the vast majority of Americans will vote for who they think can best guide our country during these difficult times. I understand that there is a small segment of our population that will choose a candidate based on skin color alone, but I am resolved to believe it is, indeed, a small segment.
Say Goodbye
Watching McCain flail around is somewhat sad, although tempered by a healthy resentment of Republican policies. I think when historians look back on this era, they will write admiringly of the hoodwink job that the Republicans were able to pull on the American public.
You simply can't make me believe that there are 50 million Americans who have benefited from Bush/Frist/Delay policies during the past eight years. Yet, that's how many people will vote for a continuation of these policies. If not more.
You simply can't make me believe that there are 50 million Americans who have benefited from Bush/Frist/Delay policies during the past eight years. Yet, that's how many people will vote for a continuation of these policies. If not more.
Monday, October 20, 2008
Friday, October 3, 2008
Debate II, also
I watched the debate with about 20 hard-core Dems last night who were revved up when Biden was deftly attacking McCain. Good stuff. We had a min-discussion of our own about Palin's use of the word "also."
My humble opinion is that the word is a verbal crutch for her. "Also" in the context that Palin uses it, reflects her intellectual incapacity to relate the initial verbal argument to the argument for which "also" refers.
Others thought it sounded like a tick, something she is saying as talking points come to her at the last minute.
One thing we all agreed on. Never had we heard the word so mis-used by anyone under any circumstances. It was awful.
My humble opinion is that the word is a verbal crutch for her. "Also" in the context that Palin uses it, reflects her intellectual incapacity to relate the initial verbal argument to the argument for which "also" refers.
Others thought it sounded like a tick, something she is saying as talking points come to her at the last minute.
One thing we all agreed on. Never had we heard the word so mis-used by anyone under any circumstances. It was awful.
Post Debate
My initial reaction last night was that, politically speaking, both candidates did what they needed to do. Palin, speaking in gibberish/talking points, was able to finish the debate without vomiting on the stage. Biden, avoided condescension and mockery, sounded knowledgeable and surprisingly salient. I admit to being somewhat surprised by Biden's shift to attack McCain mode about 1/3 of the way in.
So, politically, this was a draw. Technically, a Biden trouncing of Palin. In the final analysis, this debate will not matter, which is not good for McCain's chances.
The House is debating the Senate "Rescue" bill. Probably won't be much debate coverage on TeeVee.
So, politically, this was a draw. Technically, a Biden trouncing of Palin. In the final analysis, this debate will not matter, which is not good for McCain's chances.
The House is debating the Senate "Rescue" bill. Probably won't be much debate coverage on TeeVee.
Thursday, October 2, 2008
Handicapping Tonight
I don't expect much tonight. The format works for Palin and Biden is an old pro.
For Palin
I expect that, freed from the follow-up questions to her non-answers, she will expound on her talking points. Some might come away saying she seemed almost credible. In previous debates, she has shown an ability to cross-over from tough question to a more comfortable talking point. Former AK Governor Tony Knowles pointedly tells how Palin was asked about health care in small communities, and turned it into a talking point about revenues and budgets.
Palin will also attack. It seems that she enjoys the competitive aspect of the attack message, and I admire her ability to do it in a very folksy manner. She will probably use every opportunity she has to paint Obama/Biden as out of touch senators compared to the change that she and McCain will bring to Washington. They probably expect Biden to try to ignore her, so look for Palin to launch attacks against Biden in an attempt to get him to engage her in an ad hoc and unprepared manner.
Finally, I think Palin will shore up some weakening conservative infrastructure tonight. In fact, as I write this, I think this will be her most important task. For the most part, she has lost the intellectual conservatives and I don't think she gets them back. But she can plug the hole with a credible performance - meaning no Couric/Gibson interview type gaffes - and provide a little red meat to her keyboarding and airwave supporters. This is a pretty low bar to hurdle and I expect her to do well.
For Biden
Not too much here either. The best thing Biden can do, in my mind, is look presidential. That alone, as he stands on stage with Gov Palin, is worth more than any attack he can levy on either Palin or McCain. Be a man of few, strong words, and re-affirm what the Obama/Biden ticket means for average Americans.
Biden needs to talk his working-class language. Whether that is loaded with Catholic code words or not does not matter. His mission tonight is not to attack, even when engaged, but to stay on message. If we see Biden stray from message discipline tonight, it could be a problem.
Biden must be planning to ignore Palin. He must know that they know this and are creating ways for her to engage him on a personal level. He will need to control his temper and moderate his tone. Passion is good when promoting what you stand for, bad when defending your positions.
My final take: Draw. Both candidates will do what they need to do. Advantage: Obama. McCain needs a game-changer, not a draw.
One other consideration. The House votes on the "Recovery" legislation tomorrow (a little disappointed to see that the Dems are going to play the Orwellian name game). If the debate goes horribly awry for Biden tonight (unlikely), or if Palin performs much better than expected (more likely given the low ceiling of expectations), look for a little drama in the House as the Democrats flash something shiny in front of the media to distract them from the debate.
For Palin
I expect that, freed from the follow-up questions to her non-answers, she will expound on her talking points. Some might come away saying she seemed almost credible. In previous debates, she has shown an ability to cross-over from tough question to a more comfortable talking point. Former AK Governor Tony Knowles pointedly tells how Palin was asked about health care in small communities, and turned it into a talking point about revenues and budgets.
Palin will also attack. It seems that she enjoys the competitive aspect of the attack message, and I admire her ability to do it in a very folksy manner. She will probably use every opportunity she has to paint Obama/Biden as out of touch senators compared to the change that she and McCain will bring to Washington. They probably expect Biden to try to ignore her, so look for Palin to launch attacks against Biden in an attempt to get him to engage her in an ad hoc and unprepared manner.
Finally, I think Palin will shore up some weakening conservative infrastructure tonight. In fact, as I write this, I think this will be her most important task. For the most part, she has lost the intellectual conservatives and I don't think she gets them back. But she can plug the hole with a credible performance - meaning no Couric/Gibson interview type gaffes - and provide a little red meat to her keyboarding and airwave supporters. This is a pretty low bar to hurdle and I expect her to do well.
For Biden
Not too much here either. The best thing Biden can do, in my mind, is look presidential. That alone, as he stands on stage with Gov Palin, is worth more than any attack he can levy on either Palin or McCain. Be a man of few, strong words, and re-affirm what the Obama/Biden ticket means for average Americans.
Biden needs to talk his working-class language. Whether that is loaded with Catholic code words or not does not matter. His mission tonight is not to attack, even when engaged, but to stay on message. If we see Biden stray from message discipline tonight, it could be a problem.
Biden must be planning to ignore Palin. He must know that they know this and are creating ways for her to engage him on a personal level. He will need to control his temper and moderate his tone. Passion is good when promoting what you stand for, bad when defending your positions.
My final take: Draw. Both candidates will do what they need to do. Advantage: Obama. McCain needs a game-changer, not a draw.
One other consideration. The House votes on the "Recovery" legislation tomorrow (a little disappointed to see that the Dems are going to play the Orwellian name game). If the debate goes horribly awry for Biden tonight (unlikely), or if Palin performs much better than expected (more likely given the low ceiling of expectations), look for a little drama in the House as the Democrats flash something shiny in front of the media to distract them from the debate.
Red Sox beat the Angels
That was a great pitching performance by Lester last night. Man, he's really turning into a very good pitcher - not great, just real good. I'm glad he's on the team I root for.
Lackey pitched pretty well for the Angels. The Sox just grind pitchers down. It is obvious that the Sox lineup just isn't the same without Ramirez. Most of the Sox players say the clubhouse is better, but not having Manny's bat in the lineup hurts Big Papi and creates a road map for opposing pitchers.
We'll see how this all plays out. Matsuzaka goes against Santana on Friday, and you just never know what you're going to get with DiceK. He could throw 100 pitches in the first four innings. Plus, the Angels' lineup is fearsome - Vlad is a freak of nature. I know he made a base running error last night, but he brings so much to a team. As a Sox fan, I can tell you that I know exactly where he is in the lineup at any given point in the game, and approximately how many more at bats he's going to get. I'm sure that Francona has his image plastered across his consciousness...
Just saying, Vlad is an unbelievable ballplayer. Go Sox.
Lackey pitched pretty well for the Angels. The Sox just grind pitchers down. It is obvious that the Sox lineup just isn't the same without Ramirez. Most of the Sox players say the clubhouse is better, but not having Manny's bat in the lineup hurts Big Papi and creates a road map for opposing pitchers.
We'll see how this all plays out. Matsuzaka goes against Santana on Friday, and you just never know what you're going to get with DiceK. He could throw 100 pitches in the first four innings. Plus, the Angels' lineup is fearsome - Vlad is a freak of nature. I know he made a base running error last night, but he brings so much to a team. As a Sox fan, I can tell you that I know exactly where he is in the lineup at any given point in the game, and approximately how many more at bats he's going to get. I'm sure that Francona has his image plastered across his consciousness...
Just saying, Vlad is an unbelievable ballplayer. Go Sox.
Wednesday, October 1, 2008
Flurry in Missouri
Well I did so well predicting the results of the Obama/McCain debate that I thought I'd give myself another go at it. Well, not right now, but soon. I fear that I am placing far too much emphasis on Palin's disastrous interviews on CBS to provide a credible analysis at this point.
Could it have been worse for McCain/Palin? I just can't envision it. Of course, I LMAO when I hear these unbelievable explanations for her poor performances:
She was over-prepared.
She's been over-handled.
Free Sarah.
It's a debate trap.
Let Sarah be Sarah.
She's managing expectations.
She's relating to the masses.
I'm sure I've missed some, but hooo, stop the madness. It is best to keep in mind Occam's Razor in times like these: The simplest explanation is the best explanation. She is wholly, inarguably, and incontestably unqualified.
All analysis must flow from this foundation.
Could it have been worse for McCain/Palin? I just can't envision it. Of course, I LMAO when I hear these unbelievable explanations for her poor performances:
She was over-prepared.
She's been over-handled.
Free Sarah.
It's a debate trap.
Let Sarah be Sarah.
She's managing expectations.
She's relating to the masses.
I'm sure I've missed some, but hooo, stop the madness. It is best to keep in mind Occam's Razor in times like these: The simplest explanation is the best explanation. She is wholly, inarguably, and incontestably unqualified.
All analysis must flow from this foundation.
Politics in the Granite State
There seems to be a rift between Shaheen and Shea-Porter in New Hampshire. Jeanne Shaheen is, of course, running against John Sununu for one of NH's senate seats, and Carol Shea-Porter is running for re-election in NH's 1st Congressional District.
This is just a hunch on my part - no moles divulging secrets here - but Shaheen people are loathe to even mention Carol's name. I was at an event where Jeanne's husband, Bill, was speaking and he mentioned almost every candidate but Carol. It certainly didn't seem like an accident.
On the other hand, I attended a Shea-Porter event where Carol went out of her way to praise Jeanne and urge us to support the Shaheen candidacy.
My intuition is that the Shaheen's were embarrassed by the Congressional reps (Hoades in CD 2, and Shea-Porter in CD 1) early support of Obama in NH. The Shaheens worked hard for Clinton, providing the institutional support Hillary needed to squeak out a primary victory here. That said, a Clinton blowout might have changed the primary landscape for Clinton. Extrapolating one step further, a Clinton presidential nomination, particularly with an emphasis on a significant NH victory, would have been a electoral boom for Shaheen, with Hillary making a visit or two to campaign for Jeanne.
I'm also not sure about Obama's political in-fighting techniques and whether he has been helpful to the Shaheen camp or not. It would be difficult to blame him if he conveniently ignored this race, although he's going to need all the help he can get in the Senate.
This is just a hunch on my part - no moles divulging secrets here - but Shaheen people are loathe to even mention Carol's name. I was at an event where Jeanne's husband, Bill, was speaking and he mentioned almost every candidate but Carol. It certainly didn't seem like an accident.
On the other hand, I attended a Shea-Porter event where Carol went out of her way to praise Jeanne and urge us to support the Shaheen candidacy.
My intuition is that the Shaheen's were embarrassed by the Congressional reps (Hoades in CD 2, and Shea-Porter in CD 1) early support of Obama in NH. The Shaheens worked hard for Clinton, providing the institutional support Hillary needed to squeak out a primary victory here. That said, a Clinton blowout might have changed the primary landscape for Clinton. Extrapolating one step further, a Clinton presidential nomination, particularly with an emphasis on a significant NH victory, would have been a electoral boom for Shaheen, with Hillary making a visit or two to campaign for Jeanne.
I'm also not sure about Obama's political in-fighting techniques and whether he has been helpful to the Shaheen camp or not. It would be difficult to blame him if he conveniently ignored this race, although he's going to need all the help he can get in the Senate.
There will be Paine
"If there must be trouble, let it be in my day, that my child may have peace;"
These are the times that try men's souls. And I get great comfort in knowing that our country has forged our way through many twists and turns to make our way.
No matter what Congress decides, it is clear that there is a long-road to hoe.
These are the times that try men's souls. And I get great comfort in knowing that our country has forged our way through many twists and turns to make our way.
No matter what Congress decides, it is clear that there is a long-road to hoe.
Sunday, September 28, 2008
Bailing out the Titanic
with a teaspoon.
It looks like the Wall Street bailout bill is going to pass. I am distraught with the actions of our Democratic caucus.
There are those who believe we are on the cusp of financial disaster. People I respect a great deal are in favor of doing something, even if it is wrong. Plug the financial hole before it sinks the ship.
The problem is that I think this is the wrong analogy. My feeling is that this is more like the boy with his finger in the dyke. We've plugged one hole, but there are many more that are likely to lead to collapse. Economists are already declaring that $700b is only a start. Mind boggling.
I've done my best. I've written and called my congressional delegation. I've urged my friends and family, and some folks I barely know, to do the same. I'm not sure how my delegation will vote, but I'm watching like a hawk.
In the final analysis, most economists seem to be saying that we are approaching this from the wrong end. We are buying up bad assets at premium prices - taxpayers will be left with worthless securities - thus bailing out the people who made these very poor decisions.
Warren Buffet showed that there is capital in the system. The problem is that the Wall Street moguls do not want to suffer the consequences of the free-market. To get Buffet's cash, Goldman-Sachs had to give a sweetheart deal. The money from the market comes at a premium. On the other hand, the money from taxpayers comes with very few restrictions.
There was one thing I agreed with McCain about during the debate Friday. This is just the end of the beginning. We are in for a long slog now that we have put chips on the table. Watch as we furiously try to protect this initial $700b investment with even more taxpayer dough.
Gamblers call this "throwing good money after bad." I have a feeling that voters are going to make incumbents pay for this bad, bad decision.
It looks like the Wall Street bailout bill is going to pass. I am distraught with the actions of our Democratic caucus.
There are those who believe we are on the cusp of financial disaster. People I respect a great deal are in favor of doing something, even if it is wrong. Plug the financial hole before it sinks the ship.
The problem is that I think this is the wrong analogy. My feeling is that this is more like the boy with his finger in the dyke. We've plugged one hole, but there are many more that are likely to lead to collapse. Economists are already declaring that $700b is only a start. Mind boggling.
I've done my best. I've written and called my congressional delegation. I've urged my friends and family, and some folks I barely know, to do the same. I'm not sure how my delegation will vote, but I'm watching like a hawk.
In the final analysis, most economists seem to be saying that we are approaching this from the wrong end. We are buying up bad assets at premium prices - taxpayers will be left with worthless securities - thus bailing out the people who made these very poor decisions.
Warren Buffet showed that there is capital in the system. The problem is that the Wall Street moguls do not want to suffer the consequences of the free-market. To get Buffet's cash, Goldman-Sachs had to give a sweetheart deal. The money from the market comes at a premium. On the other hand, the money from taxpayers comes with very few restrictions.
There was one thing I agreed with McCain about during the debate Friday. This is just the end of the beginning. We are in for a long slog now that we have put chips on the table. Watch as we furiously try to protect this initial $700b investment with even more taxpayer dough.
Gamblers call this "throwing good money after bad." I have a feeling that voters are going to make incumbents pay for this bad, bad decision.
Debate follow-up
There was a general feeling of let-down at the debate party I attended at the conclusion of the debate. Many felt that Obama did not do enough to stop McCain's bullying tactics.
I felt a little differently. It seemed to me that Obama was not debating for the votes of the people that I watched the debate with. Indeed, even if most of Sen McCain's wild accusations against Sen Obama were true, Obama would have carried the room I was in by a landslide. Obama was courting undecideds and slight lean McCain votes.
McCain's erratic behavior has provided enough fodder for folks just slightly leaning toward him to pause. There is no reasonable way to explain his bizarre campaign and the media has simply given up trying to find plausible explanations for him. Combine that with Schmidt and Davis basically declaring war on the media, and you have the makings of a self-destructing campaign.
Obama and his staff of aces understand this in a way that those of us on the left simply cannot comprehend. I remember feeling this way during the Dem debates when I thought Obama could have cleaned Clinton's clock. But he didn't. And even though, allegedly, legions of Clinton supporters bearing pitchforks and torches were upset with Obama, he never retaliated or made Clinton look bad. Obama simply refused to pour fuel on his opponents rage...
He has done the same with McCain. As McCain hates Obama more with each passing day, Obama offers praise and friendship. Always reaching out - at least in appearances. Yes, there are campaign slams, but these are mostly about policy, and McCain's judgement about those policies. Obama is offering a road map for those not happy with McCain's recent metamorphosis to vote for the Dems. It is working spectacularly.
There is a lot of time left in this election. Anything can happen. Obama's margin for error is probably smaller than for any other candidate for president in our history. Not only do the Obama people know this, they have used it to their advantage.
I felt a little differently. It seemed to me that Obama was not debating for the votes of the people that I watched the debate with. Indeed, even if most of Sen McCain's wild accusations against Sen Obama were true, Obama would have carried the room I was in by a landslide. Obama was courting undecideds and slight lean McCain votes.
McCain's erratic behavior has provided enough fodder for folks just slightly leaning toward him to pause. There is no reasonable way to explain his bizarre campaign and the media has simply given up trying to find plausible explanations for him. Combine that with Schmidt and Davis basically declaring war on the media, and you have the makings of a self-destructing campaign.
Obama and his staff of aces understand this in a way that those of us on the left simply cannot comprehend. I remember feeling this way during the Dem debates when I thought Obama could have cleaned Clinton's clock. But he didn't. And even though, allegedly, legions of Clinton supporters bearing pitchforks and torches were upset with Obama, he never retaliated or made Clinton look bad. Obama simply refused to pour fuel on his opponents rage...
He has done the same with McCain. As McCain hates Obama more with each passing day, Obama offers praise and friendship. Always reaching out - at least in appearances. Yes, there are campaign slams, but these are mostly about policy, and McCain's judgement about those policies. Obama is offering a road map for those not happy with McCain's recent metamorphosis to vote for the Dems. It is working spectacularly.
There is a lot of time left in this election. Anything can happen. Obama's margin for error is probably smaller than for any other candidate for president in our history. Not only do the Obama people know this, they have used it to their advantage.
Friday, September 26, 2008
Debate pointers
When the circumstances get uncomfortable, some people tend to overreact. We've all had a co-worker we can relate this to. The person who takes everything personally, and turns minor social slights into third-stage showdowns. Backing away from these people can be dicey, especially when people are looking to you for leadership.
McCain has shown he is one of these hard to predict, erratic people. He has been a wind sock in a tornado. A dog chasing cars at the demolition derby. Simply out of control. He has no plan, chaos is his only ally at this point. I fully expect several moments tonight where McCain's erratic behavior puts Obama on the spot.
McCain is under enormous stress. His campaign is floundering, wildly throwing darts in every direction hoping to pin a donkey. His campaign strategy to date has been the surprise - guerrilla tactics if you will. The Swamp Fox (I think McCain might have served with Francis Marion - I'll have to check.). Expect McCain to continue this routine tonight. Anything less gives credence to the fact that Obama belongs on the stage with him...something McCain simply cannot accept.
The stress, lack of sleep, and let's not forget Palin's recent poor performances will be weighing heavily on McCain tonight. Thus far, the media, and the polls, have rewarded McCain for most of his antics...the latest bailout fiasco notwithstanding. He loves to gamble. Expect him to double-down in a reprehensible fashion tonight.
My feeling is that Obama must be prepared to fight back. This is not going to be won on points. Not by a long-shot.
McCain has shown he is one of these hard to predict, erratic people. He has been a wind sock in a tornado. A dog chasing cars at the demolition derby. Simply out of control. He has no plan, chaos is his only ally at this point. I fully expect several moments tonight where McCain's erratic behavior puts Obama on the spot.
McCain is under enormous stress. His campaign is floundering, wildly throwing darts in every direction hoping to pin a donkey. His campaign strategy to date has been the surprise - guerrilla tactics if you will. The Swamp Fox (I think McCain might have served with Francis Marion - I'll have to check.). Expect McCain to continue this routine tonight. Anything less gives credence to the fact that Obama belongs on the stage with him...something McCain simply cannot accept.
The stress, lack of sleep, and let's not forget Palin's recent poor performances will be weighing heavily on McCain tonight. Thus far, the media, and the polls, have rewarded McCain for most of his antics...the latest bailout fiasco notwithstanding. He loves to gamble. Expect him to double-down in a reprehensible fashion tonight.
My feeling is that Obama must be prepared to fight back. This is not going to be won on points. Not by a long-shot.
Rescue Me
With the limited information we have had, I have been against the large bailout plan proposed by the administration. While not rejecting the premise out of hand, I have agreed in principle with many who want strict conditions on this plan. These conditions must have teeth, and not be window dressing designed to look like something they are not.
I am also in favor of limited outlays of taxpayer dollars. No person in their right mind would sink so much dough into a plan that has no guarantees of success. I am fearful that Obama's preference to be seen as post-partisan will box him in to supporting a bad bill that includes conservative Republican demands.
This is a Republican mess. There are Republicans playing politics with a potential permanent solution. My suggestion? Create a short-term solution that needs no bi-partisan support and gets us to November. Examine the success of the solution after the election, providing more support if needed to get us to the new administration and new Congress.
Let's get politics out of this mess.
I am also in favor of limited outlays of taxpayer dollars. No person in their right mind would sink so much dough into a plan that has no guarantees of success. I am fearful that Obama's preference to be seen as post-partisan will box him in to supporting a bad bill that includes conservative Republican demands.
This is a Republican mess. There are Republicans playing politics with a potential permanent solution. My suggestion? Create a short-term solution that needs no bi-partisan support and gets us to November. Examine the success of the solution after the election, providing more support if needed to get us to the new administration and new Congress.
Let's get politics out of this mess.
Airspace
That's the word that keeps rumbling around in my thoughts as I watched the Couric interviews with Palin.
Honestly, can anyone, in any party, think that Palin is a good choice for Ambassador to Alaska, let alone the Vice Presidency? This is going to get very ugly. I'd love to be a fly on the wall in the McCain campaign - the internecine struggle at this point must be getting deadly. Watch for the rats jumping from the sinking ship. Note who they are, because it will tell us much about which direction the Molly McCain will be sailing in.
Airspace. Seriously, airspace.
Honestly, can anyone, in any party, think that Palin is a good choice for Ambassador to Alaska, let alone the Vice Presidency? This is going to get very ugly. I'd love to be a fly on the wall in the McCain campaign - the internecine struggle at this point must be getting deadly. Watch for the rats jumping from the sinking ship. Note who they are, because it will tell us much about which direction the Molly McCain will be sailing in.
Airspace. Seriously, airspace.
Republican Movement
to dump McCain.
Good lord, McCain has become completely unhinged. He has shifted his position like an organ grinder - not for bailouts, for bailouts, suspending campaigns, not suspending campaigns, won't debate, will debate...ayeyaya.
What we are witnessing is a train wreck in slow motion. McCain is the engineer. Upon seeing the upcoming cliff, McCain is pulling back hard on all levers and trying to stop or turn the train around. Nothing is working.
There isn't much left to do, and how McCain responds will speak volumes about him, as it did of the Clintons. When the fight was lost, the Clintons continued to hammer and punish Obama. They went racial - don't think for a moment that Bill's antics in South Carolina weren't intended for audiences in PA and Ohio - they went personal. It didn't work then, I feel more confident it won't work now. Obama and the Dems gave the Clintons a second chance - I am not enamored by the lukewarm support thus far.
Sadly, I expect McCain to unleash a fury of personal and ad hominem attacks on Obama tonight. McCain cannot afford a tie. He cannot afford to have Obama look strong and presidential. Obama must maintain his composure, parry McCain effectively, and take the fight to McCain at times, hoping to keep McCain on his heels.
There are ramped up expectations for tonight. Millions will tune in... Tonight's the night that makes me nervous.
Good lord, McCain has become completely unhinged. He has shifted his position like an organ grinder - not for bailouts, for bailouts, suspending campaigns, not suspending campaigns, won't debate, will debate...ayeyaya.
What we are witnessing is a train wreck in slow motion. McCain is the engineer. Upon seeing the upcoming cliff, McCain is pulling back hard on all levers and trying to stop or turn the train around. Nothing is working.
There isn't much left to do, and how McCain responds will speak volumes about him, as it did of the Clintons. When the fight was lost, the Clintons continued to hammer and punish Obama. They went racial - don't think for a moment that Bill's antics in South Carolina weren't intended for audiences in PA and Ohio - they went personal. It didn't work then, I feel more confident it won't work now. Obama and the Dems gave the Clintons a second chance - I am not enamored by the lukewarm support thus far.
Sadly, I expect McCain to unleash a fury of personal and ad hominem attacks on Obama tonight. McCain cannot afford a tie. He cannot afford to have Obama look strong and presidential. Obama must maintain his composure, parry McCain effectively, and take the fight to McCain at times, hoping to keep McCain on his heels.
There are ramped up expectations for tonight. Millions will tune in... Tonight's the night that makes me nervous.
Thursday, September 25, 2008
Republican movement
to dumb Palin.
At what point is Palin mauled by polar bears, making room for Romney on the ticket? Seriously.
Republicans cannot be happy with her performance, and must be petrified about Tuesday Night Lights in front of a national audience. Under the most modest of circumstances, with soft lighting and a friendly interviewer, Palin is withering. And folks, these aren't hard questions that Couric is asking. I'm willing to bet that most people who pay attention day-to-day could give better answers.
The powers that be in the Republican party must be pretty anxious right now. I'm sure that Schmidt, Davis and the rest of the campaign staff are getting earfuls about this. It's really that obvious. Her performance is abysmal and getting worse.
I mean, "Putin rears his head..."?
At what point is Palin mauled by polar bears, making room for Romney on the ticket? Seriously.
Republicans cannot be happy with her performance, and must be petrified about Tuesday Night Lights in front of a national audience. Under the most modest of circumstances, with soft lighting and a friendly interviewer, Palin is withering. And folks, these aren't hard questions that Couric is asking. I'm willing to bet that most people who pay attention day-to-day could give better answers.
The powers that be in the Republican party must be pretty anxious right now. I'm sure that Schmidt, Davis and the rest of the campaign staff are getting earfuls about this. It's really that obvious. Her performance is abysmal and getting worse.
I mean, "Putin rears his head..."?
Steady as She Goes
I've always felt that the election would come down to the issues, no matter how hard the McCain camp pressed otherwise. Of course, not owning a crystal ball, I did not foresee this financial crisis and it's impact on the election. Obama continues to show a steady hand, a firm grasp of the situation, and if he's a little light on details, it works in his favor because he leaves himself room to negotiate in a bipartisan manner. All this without alienating the other side, or losing the confidence of the John Q. Public.
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Bad Form
I think what we are seeing is a first-class opportunist. This whole gambit just reeks of hidden agendas and ulterior motives. There are so many sub-plots to this that it is almost scary to consider. I'm tired, it's late, but here are a few random thoughts:
1. McCain needs to get the credit for a Wall Street "rescue." If he can't do that, he needs to sabotage an agreement so that he can blame Bush, Democrats, and by extension, Obama.
2. His grandstanding today, while Obama was working with him quietly in the background, suggests McCain is gaming his position on the bailout.
3. McCain continues to draw attention to himself with these bizarre maneuvers. I warned about his gambling addiction and that we were probably going to see more of his quirky behavior.
4. Postponing the debate on Friday is simply subterfuge for postponing the VP debate. Unless Palin's performance in the two softball interviews are ambushes in waiting, the McCain camp must be petrified about her readiness for next week. There will not be a VP debate next week. Take it to the bank. They cannot allow it.
5. Attention has been shifted from McCain's lobbyist problem (Rick Davis - Fannie and Freddie), and the campaign is getting tons of free face time.
Maybe I'm all wet. Maybe I'm just tired. Or maybe, like many others, I'm suffering from McCain Political Stunt Fatigue. Only time will tell.
I can't wait for November and this surreal election to be over.
1. McCain needs to get the credit for a Wall Street "rescue." If he can't do that, he needs to sabotage an agreement so that he can blame Bush, Democrats, and by extension, Obama.
2. His grandstanding today, while Obama was working with him quietly in the background, suggests McCain is gaming his position on the bailout.
3. McCain continues to draw attention to himself with these bizarre maneuvers. I warned about his gambling addiction and that we were probably going to see more of his quirky behavior.
4. Postponing the debate on Friday is simply subterfuge for postponing the VP debate. Unless Palin's performance in the two softball interviews are ambushes in waiting, the McCain camp must be petrified about her readiness for next week. There will not be a VP debate next week. Take it to the bank. They cannot allow it.
5. Attention has been shifted from McCain's lobbyist problem (Rick Davis - Fannie and Freddie), and the campaign is getting tons of free face time.
Maybe I'm all wet. Maybe I'm just tired. Or maybe, like many others, I'm suffering from McCain Political Stunt Fatigue. Only time will tell.
I can't wait for November and this surreal election to be over.
Suspending Belief
This is almost unbelievable. McCain is suspending his campaign - whatever the hell that means - and is calling on Obama to do the same.
My first reaction is that McCain is near panic. This is another in a long line of knee-jerk, over reactions. He certainly loves postponing and cancelling.
This is not putting country first. This is grandstanding at a disgusting level. Our political process should push forward...that is the constant in our system. What's next, McCain calling for the election to be postponed?
My first reaction is that McCain is near panic. This is another in a long line of knee-jerk, over reactions. He certainly loves postponing and cancelling.
This is not putting country first. This is grandstanding at a disgusting level. Our political process should push forward...that is the constant in our system. What's next, McCain calling for the election to be postponed?
Big Questions Remain
There are three issues related to the Wall Street bailout that I simply can't get my arms around.
First, I am completely stunned by the administration's response to conditions being tied to the bailout plan. Paulson is basically claiming that the institutions will not participate if there are conditions to the bailout money. How does this make any sense? If the fate of the planet rides on this initiative, why would firms hesitate because their taxpayer "banker" wants some security? I don't buy it.
Second, why is Paulson not explaining the theory of this bailout. Thus far, he refuses to explain any details on what is to be purchased and at what rate. Given the incurious and incompetent record of this administration, what buffoon would give them a key to a public restroom at this point, let alone our national treasury? Paulson and Bernake have both said there are no guarantees that this will work. I need some transparency here. Big time.
Finally, why all $700b at once? Paulson has indicated that he will spend about $50b a month. With conditions, and I mean strict conditions, including transparency, oversight, and review, let's give a little and see what they do with it. Doesn't that make some sense rather than dumping a one trillion dollar bill into a sink hole?
This whole thing is unsettling and more information is required. No more unlimited authorizations for anyone.
First, I am completely stunned by the administration's response to conditions being tied to the bailout plan. Paulson is basically claiming that the institutions will not participate if there are conditions to the bailout money. How does this make any sense? If the fate of the planet rides on this initiative, why would firms hesitate because their taxpayer "banker" wants some security? I don't buy it.
Second, why is Paulson not explaining the theory of this bailout. Thus far, he refuses to explain any details on what is to be purchased and at what rate. Given the incurious and incompetent record of this administration, what buffoon would give them a key to a public restroom at this point, let alone our national treasury? Paulson and Bernake have both said there are no guarantees that this will work. I need some transparency here. Big time.
Finally, why all $700b at once? Paulson has indicated that he will spend about $50b a month. With conditions, and I mean strict conditions, including transparency, oversight, and review, let's give a little and see what they do with it. Doesn't that make some sense rather than dumping a one trillion dollar bill into a sink hole?
This whole thing is unsettling and more information is required. No more unlimited authorizations for anyone.
Even tho we aint got money
This Wall Street bailout is starting to smell rotten to me. Paulson and Bernake are running around like Chicken Little, screaming that the economic sky is falling. As Congress stiffens in resistance, offering conditions on such a plan, the administration is saying that any conditions will negatively impact the potential success of such a program.
Let's review - it's always helpful.
1. The Bush administration, along with a Republican Congress, loosen regulations and essentially eliminate oversight of the banking and finance industry.
2. Bush promotes the "Ownership" society, and Alan Greenspan opens the credit faucet beyond the danger zone.
3. Wall Street ingeniously designs packages that create trillions in wealth for their firms. Executives make off with obscene bonuses and severance deals.
4. The house of cards that was built with this foundation begins to teeter.
5. Feds rush in and bail out Bears-Stearns, Freddie and Fannie. They let Lehman collapse and then decide it was a bad idea and bail out AIG.
6. Paulson tells us everything is under control after bailing out AIG, and then turns around next day, and, in secret meetings, tells Congress we're facing a global financial wipeout.
7. The administration, telling us they've been working on this contingency plan for months, offers a three-page plan with no review, oversight, or taxpayer protections. We're told if we do not pass this clean bill, the economy will collapse.
Ok. I know there are lots of holes, but this is the general picture. If the situation is so dire, why would these institutions choose to fail rather than accept some strict terms on a bailout? If this money was being provided by capital venturists, you can bet there would be a bigger piece of the pie than what Congress is asking for. Why is the administration balking at conditions? Why are we not hearing from captains of the finance industry explain why some of these pre-conditions are worse than failing? Remember, these CEOs have a fiduciary responsibility to the shareholders, they are personally responsible.
There's something rotten in DC. But we already knew that.
Let's review - it's always helpful.
1. The Bush administration, along with a Republican Congress, loosen regulations and essentially eliminate oversight of the banking and finance industry.
2. Bush promotes the "Ownership" society, and Alan Greenspan opens the credit faucet beyond the danger zone.
3. Wall Street ingeniously designs packages that create trillions in wealth for their firms. Executives make off with obscene bonuses and severance deals.
4. The house of cards that was built with this foundation begins to teeter.
5. Feds rush in and bail out Bears-Stearns, Freddie and Fannie. They let Lehman collapse and then decide it was a bad idea and bail out AIG.
6. Paulson tells us everything is under control after bailing out AIG, and then turns around next day, and, in secret meetings, tells Congress we're facing a global financial wipeout.
7. The administration, telling us they've been working on this contingency plan for months, offers a three-page plan with no review, oversight, or taxpayer protections. We're told if we do not pass this clean bill, the economy will collapse.
Ok. I know there are lots of holes, but this is the general picture. If the situation is so dire, why would these institutions choose to fail rather than accept some strict terms on a bailout? If this money was being provided by capital venturists, you can bet there would be a bigger piece of the pie than what Congress is asking for. Why is the administration balking at conditions? Why are we not hearing from captains of the finance industry explain why some of these pre-conditions are worse than failing? Remember, these CEOs have a fiduciary responsibility to the shareholders, they are personally responsible.
There's something rotten in DC. But we already knew that.
Monday, September 22, 2008
I Know You Are...
But what am I? Also known as: "Nana Nana Poo Poo."
You gotta be f&^%&$g kidding me. McCain is out there shouting about a 10 minute telephone conversation Obama had with a VP of Fannie Mae while his campaign manager was receiving $350k a year from Fannie and Freddie.
You just can't make this stuff up.
You gotta be f&^%&$g kidding me. McCain is out there shouting about a 10 minute telephone conversation Obama had with a VP of Fannie Mae while his campaign manager was receiving $350k a year from Fannie and Freddie.
You just can't make this stuff up.
Shock Doctrine
I read Naomi Klein's book this past summer - The Shock Doctrine. I am petrified of what's next in our economy.
The latest bailout proposed by Bush is a bomb waiting to go off next year. Our country will be awash in so much debt that the "free marketers" will be screaming to curtail entitlement programs. This is the gambit to privatize social security, education, and end discussions on health care reform.
We cannot allow this maneuver to be successful. Write your congressperson and senators. Write letters to the editor. Talk to your neighbors, friends and family.
Do something. Now.
The latest bailout proposed by Bush is a bomb waiting to go off next year. Our country will be awash in so much debt that the "free marketers" will be screaming to curtail entitlement programs. This is the gambit to privatize social security, education, and end discussions on health care reform.
We cannot allow this maneuver to be successful. Write your congressperson and senators. Write letters to the editor. Talk to your neighbors, friends and family.
Do something. Now.
Thursday, September 18, 2008
The Change Candidate
Little did we know that when McCain says he's the candidate of change, what he really means is that he'll change his mind every day.
Free advice to the geniuses over at McCain headquarters: Picking a new position each day does not instill confidence in the voters.
Free advice to the geniuses over at McCain headquarters: Picking a new position each day does not instill confidence in the voters.
Senor Moment
While being interviewed by Spanish television, McCain was thoroughly confused by questions about the Spanish Prime Minister. Unable to maintain his bearings, McCain slipped into campaign jargon about Latin American leaders. Apparently, this has caused a huge outcry in Spain (how many electoral votes to they have?).
I've been fairly impressed by McCain's stamina to date. For a 72 year old, he seems to maintain some energy on the campaign trail. I do wonder, though, why he has been less available to the media, and will be watching for mental acuity lapses as the debates begin.
McCain's tendency to shoot from the hip frequently lands him trouble. His ability to stay on message these past six or seven weeks has been pretty good - but all bets are off if he get's pressed during the debates.
I've been fairly impressed by McCain's stamina to date. For a 72 year old, he seems to maintain some energy on the campaign trail. I do wonder, though, why he has been less available to the media, and will be watching for mental acuity lapses as the debates begin.
McCain's tendency to shoot from the hip frequently lands him trouble. His ability to stay on message these past six or seven weeks has been pretty good - but all bets are off if he get's pressed during the debates.
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Trends
As I thought last week, the polls are beginning to show movement towards Obama. This probably has much to do with the economic woes we are getting shoved down our throats during the evening news and our local papers. People are beginning to pay attention and when they hear John McHoover say the economy is fundamentally sound, they wonder what planet he's from.
As the obsession with the Palin pick subsides (and the sad reality of the poor choice sets in) and the election becomes Obama vs McCain, I expect Obama's lead to grow. McCain looks rather lost in a crisis - stumbling for the right thing to say, and not able to think on his feet quickly. Obama has more of an analytical mind and is able to think more broadly. This manifests itself in Obama's ability to connect the dots for folks. Granted, I'd like to see him start doing this with fewer words.
Obama will hit his stride when he begins to break the issues down into comprehensible chunks. Not for graduate-level consumption at universities, but for common people. One of my favorite campaigning stories is about Adelai Stevenson. After giving a speech at Princeton, a very enthusiastic student shook Stevenson's hand, telling him he loved the speech and that "Stevenson had the support of every thinking man in America." To which Stevenson quickly replied, "That's not enough, son. I need a majority!"
As true today as it ever was.
As the obsession with the Palin pick subsides (and the sad reality of the poor choice sets in) and the election becomes Obama vs McCain, I expect Obama's lead to grow. McCain looks rather lost in a crisis - stumbling for the right thing to say, and not able to think on his feet quickly. Obama has more of an analytical mind and is able to think more broadly. This manifests itself in Obama's ability to connect the dots for folks. Granted, I'd like to see him start doing this with fewer words.
Obama will hit his stride when he begins to break the issues down into comprehensible chunks. Not for graduate-level consumption at universities, but for common people. One of my favorite campaigning stories is about Adelai Stevenson. After giving a speech at Princeton, a very enthusiastic student shook Stevenson's hand, telling him he loved the speech and that "Stevenson had the support of every thinking man in America." To which Stevenson quickly replied, "That's not enough, son. I need a majority!"
As true today as it ever was.
I read the news today, oh boy...
I had to shut the news off last night. How depressing...I can't shake the feeling that the appocolypse is upon us. Bank failures, Wall Street greed, and McCain running around telling everyone that the fundamentals of the economy is strong. Wow.
The bailouts are interesting to me because the government has done little to treat the root of the problem - namely the bad loans that are out there. Americans are being foreclosed on (almost 10k a day) and defaulting on loans. The exposure is still being understated by most banks and financial institutions. Some estimate that the US taxpayer is already into this for $1.5 trillion. Yeah, I bet you had to swallow hard to say that number.
It is so obvious to me that we need a complex, multi-level thinker as the leader of our country. Comparing Obama to the Republican idiot running for president is almost unfair. McCain is simply not a smart man - his choice of Palin for political reasons rather than "putting the country first" is prima facie evidence of his shallow thinking process.
I'm counting on the smart people of our country to recognize the right leader for our times. I hope I'm right.
The bailouts are interesting to me because the government has done little to treat the root of the problem - namely the bad loans that are out there. Americans are being foreclosed on (almost 10k a day) and defaulting on loans. The exposure is still being understated by most banks and financial institutions. Some estimate that the US taxpayer is already into this for $1.5 trillion. Yeah, I bet you had to swallow hard to say that number.
It is so obvious to me that we need a complex, multi-level thinker as the leader of our country. Comparing Obama to the Republican idiot running for president is almost unfair. McCain is simply not a smart man - his choice of Palin for political reasons rather than "putting the country first" is prima facie evidence of his shallow thinking process.
I'm counting on the smart people of our country to recognize the right leader for our times. I hope I'm right.
Friday, September 12, 2008
Palin Interview
I've seen only clips of ABC's interview with Governor Palin, but I simply refuse to believe that the American public would elect such a novice. She obviously is bright and has political talent, but she is not up to the task of being VP of the US.
It is also disappointing that no matter how many lies that the McCain/Palin camp are being caught in, it is just not swaying public opinion. How is this so? I do want to understand, but can't get my arms around it.
Someone please enlighten me.
It is also disappointing that no matter how many lies that the McCain/Palin camp are being caught in, it is just not swaying public opinion. How is this so? I do want to understand, but can't get my arms around it.
Someone please enlighten me.
Thursday, September 11, 2008
Truth Speak
Why is it that our Hollywood celebrity types speak truth to power better than our media? How is it possible that wankers like Broder and Cohen have jobs when they can't see the danger in this?
What's the difference between mooseshit and bullshit?
Lipstick.
What's the difference between mooseshit and bullshit?
Lipstick.
News Flash
John McCain wants to be president.
He's 72 fricken years old! This is his last opportunity. He will do anything, say anything, be anything that will get him elected.
This is not about party politics. It's not about policy. It's about one man's personal ambition to be president. John McCain. The sooner everyone understands this, the sooner we can keep the election about the issues.
That is all.
He's 72 fricken years old! This is his last opportunity. He will do anything, say anything, be anything that will get him elected.
This is not about party politics. It's not about policy. It's about one man's personal ambition to be president. John McCain. The sooner everyone understands this, the sooner we can keep the election about the issues.
That is all.
Monday, September 8, 2008
Hand wringing
The blogosphere is all atwitter with hand-wringing extraordinaire. McCain and Obama are tied, with McCain slightly ahead in some of the daily tracking polls.
Trust me when I say this is nothing unexpected. Both the hand-wringing and the close race. The Republicans have their best situational hitter up. McCain does not represent the party brand. For better or worse, he has crafted himself as a maverick, one who stands against party on principle. This doesn't have to be true to be believed. Thus, McCain can seem like he's a good choice to many people who wouldn't ordinarily vote for a Republican for president this year.
On the other side, let's face it, Obama wouldn't have a chance against McCain if the economy were strong, or if the situation in Iraq wasn't such a mess. The bird in the hand is worth two in the bush. Meaning, Obama's unknowns would be too much to overcome against someone of McCain's stature, all things being equal. I say this as a very strong Obama supporter.
Convention bounces are just that. Bounces. This one will fade, and the hard work of daily campaigning will continue for both these candidates. At some point in the next 3 to 6 weeks, we will start seeing polling trends for one of them. I'm convinced it will be Obama, because McCain has given up on the experience argument and the surge argument and is willing to fight Obama over change. It's not good ground for him because if you want to talk change, you have to talk policy, and the reality is that McCain has none. Simply platitudes.
Also remember, in today's political environment, a 4% popular vote win is a landslide.
Trust me when I say this is nothing unexpected. Both the hand-wringing and the close race. The Republicans have their best situational hitter up. McCain does not represent the party brand. For better or worse, he has crafted himself as a maverick, one who stands against party on principle. This doesn't have to be true to be believed. Thus, McCain can seem like he's a good choice to many people who wouldn't ordinarily vote for a Republican for president this year.
On the other side, let's face it, Obama wouldn't have a chance against McCain if the economy were strong, or if the situation in Iraq wasn't such a mess. The bird in the hand is worth two in the bush. Meaning, Obama's unknowns would be too much to overcome against someone of McCain's stature, all things being equal. I say this as a very strong Obama supporter.
Convention bounces are just that. Bounces. This one will fade, and the hard work of daily campaigning will continue for both these candidates. At some point in the next 3 to 6 weeks, we will start seeing polling trends for one of them. I'm convinced it will be Obama, because McCain has given up on the experience argument and the surge argument and is willing to fight Obama over change. It's not good ground for him because if you want to talk change, you have to talk policy, and the reality is that McCain has none. Simply platitudes.
Also remember, in today's political environment, a 4% popular vote win is a landslide.
Saturday, September 6, 2008
NH Donnybrook
The Republican primary is turning into a real spit fest. It's almost fun to watch, and I don't see how fences are mended after the haymakers Stephens and Bradley are throwing at each other. Although, give credit to our Republican friends, they do know how to get in line.
In related news, we learned that Republican primary candidate John Stephens doesn't wear lipstick.
In related news, we learned that Republican primary candidate John Stephens doesn't wear lipstick.
"I don't wear lipstick," Stephen, a hockey dad, said at a debate Thursday, "but I am a pit bull when it comes to wasteful spending." referencing vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin's convention quip about the difference between a hockey mom and a pit bull.
Picnic in the rain
It's raining here in New England. Steady, light rain that rustles through the leaves. These are usually great days for sleeping in, if you didn't go to bed a 9:30 pm! So, up with the birds, I was.
There's a county Democratic picnic this afternoon, couple of towns over. It's a little more important to attend because it's raining, I think. I'm not sure who the speakers are, but we're sure to see Jeanne Shaheen, Carol Shea-Porter, and maybe Lynch.
I would add that Lynch disappoints me sometimes. He has a good reputation in our state as a steady steward of government. He is popular. But he rarely helps with other Dem campaigns. The argument is always, "he wants his coattails to do the work." He's a two-term governor...time to tuck the shirts in and get to work.
It's a little curious what these gatherings are about. I mock the Repubs for marching in lockstep with all their candidates, yet I'm about to do something similar. The concept of attaching myself to a political party is not comforting. I'd like to have more options, but simply do not.
Where's the umbrella?
There's a county Democratic picnic this afternoon, couple of towns over. It's a little more important to attend because it's raining, I think. I'm not sure who the speakers are, but we're sure to see Jeanne Shaheen, Carol Shea-Porter, and maybe Lynch.
I would add that Lynch disappoints me sometimes. He has a good reputation in our state as a steady steward of government. He is popular. But he rarely helps with other Dem campaigns. The argument is always, "he wants his coattails to do the work." He's a two-term governor...time to tuck the shirts in and get to work.
It's a little curious what these gatherings are about. I mock the Repubs for marching in lockstep with all their candidates, yet I'm about to do something similar. The concept of attaching myself to a political party is not comforting. I'd like to have more options, but simply do not.
Where's the umbrella?
Friday, September 5, 2008
John Bush
McCain's speech was pedestrian. His story, though always moving, has the same effect on me as watching a made-for-TEEVEE movie for the second time. Republicans surely are waking up this morning with the hangover of having a 72 year old man leading their ticket...
Eventually, this election will come down to Obama/McCain, standing next to each other, drawing contrasts with each other, and discussing the issues. The issues are too important to ignore, and the public and media will not allow it. McCain's strategy of running on "a composite image" of the candidates is mis-placed in today's media environment.
On a side note, it looks like Gov. Palin will be hiding in Alaska for a few days. No media appearances. I seriously doubt this will go over with the media, and it allows unanswered questions to fester for days. Press releases don't cut it.
Eventually, this election will come down to Obama/McCain, standing next to each other, drawing contrasts with each other, and discussing the issues. The issues are too important to ignore, and the public and media will not allow it. McCain's strategy of running on "a composite image" of the candidates is mis-placed in today's media environment.
On a side note, it looks like Gov. Palin will be hiding in Alaska for a few days. No media appearances. I seriously doubt this will go over with the media, and it allows unanswered questions to fester for days. Press releases don't cut it.
Thursday, September 4, 2008
Are You Ready...
for some football.
Politics is important, but I think a segment of McCain's target audience will be glued to the Skins-Giants game tonight, particularly if it's a close game. Looks like McCain will be scheduled to speak at or near the conclusion of the game.
I'm rooting for an overtime thriller!
Politics is important, but I think a segment of McCain's target audience will be glued to the Skins-Giants game tonight, particularly if it's a close game. Looks like McCain will be scheduled to speak at or near the conclusion of the game.
I'm rooting for an overtime thriller!
PpMA (Post-partisan My Ass)
I'm trying to remember the last time I voted for a Republican. I did in the 2000 primary - John McCain. I was already worried about Bush. Of course, there are lots of local, non-partisan races, so it may be that I have cast a vote here or there for a conservative.
At the same time, I don't feel partisan. The reality is, I probably am. I wonder if I would vote for a Democratic version of Palin? Be just as excited as the Republican base? I wasn't a Deaniac, although I truly appreciate how he has expanded the Democratic Party and process. I wasn't enamored with John Edwards and was slow to warm to Sen. Obama (always in the back of my mind; could this be really happening?) Of course, I always believed that HRC would have stirred the Republican base just with her name.
I'm not a single-issue voter. Could the Republicans nominate someone I might be interested in? I simply don't see it. By the same token, we can't be surprised when the Repub base despises our candidates. They would eviscerate FDR if he were to jump out of his grave and run again.
This is a partisan election. Get involved. Knock on doors, make phone calls, contribute. Register voters, give rides on election day, write letters to the editor. Democrats have a decided edge right now, but it is clear that the Republicans intend to swing the cultural sledgehammer through the coalition.
At the same time, I don't feel partisan. The reality is, I probably am. I wonder if I would vote for a Democratic version of Palin? Be just as excited as the Republican base? I wasn't a Deaniac, although I truly appreciate how he has expanded the Democratic Party and process. I wasn't enamored with John Edwards and was slow to warm to Sen. Obama (always in the back of my mind; could this be really happening?) Of course, I always believed that HRC would have stirred the Republican base just with her name.
I'm not a single-issue voter. Could the Republicans nominate someone I might be interested in? I simply don't see it. By the same token, we can't be surprised when the Repub base despises our candidates. They would eviscerate FDR if he were to jump out of his grave and run again.
This is a partisan election. Get involved. Knock on doors, make phone calls, contribute. Register voters, give rides on election day, write letters to the editor. Democrats have a decided edge right now, but it is clear that the Republicans intend to swing the cultural sledgehammer through the coalition.
Wednesday, September 3, 2008
Take a load off
There's more to life than daily politics. Wood is stacked, yard is neat, and there's cold beer in the fridge.
Life is good. Warning; Foul Language
Life is good. Warning; Foul Language
Tuesday, September 2, 2008
Hurricane Sarah
Interesting times indeed. Obama cancelled events for today to travel back to Chicago to monitor "hurricane activity."
There's no doubt that the Palin pick has generated chaos on the campaign trail. Most of the chaos has focused on the Republicans, but it must be having an impact on Obama as well. Here's what I think is happening:
Obama is getting mixed advise from staffers and advisers. The campaign is unsure how to proceed, thus requiring cabinet level discussions - either in person or by phone - to determine a short-term course of action. This is important because the situation must be handled carefully - any over-reach on the part of Democrats could backfire wildly. That's the problem with political opportunity - you always pay a price.
So, my guess is that the Obama campaign will reign in advisers and staffers today. No more comments forthcoming on Palin, except for Obama/Biden (hopefully, with less emphasis on Biden). They will choose a strategy that focuses on issues, and ask for surrogate help to demonstrate why Palin is professionally incompetent for the position of VP.
Polls are starting to show landslide and believe me, it won't be long before the downticket republican candidates start to panic. This has the makings of a not-so-slow motion train wreck. But, that's what mavericks do - win some, lose some. Easy come, easy go.
This storm is just beginning. As it gathers strength, Obama and team want to be monitoring the damage from afar.
There's no doubt that the Palin pick has generated chaos on the campaign trail. Most of the chaos has focused on the Republicans, but it must be having an impact on Obama as well. Here's what I think is happening:
Obama is getting mixed advise from staffers and advisers. The campaign is unsure how to proceed, thus requiring cabinet level discussions - either in person or by phone - to determine a short-term course of action. This is important because the situation must be handled carefully - any over-reach on the part of Democrats could backfire wildly. That's the problem with political opportunity - you always pay a price.
So, my guess is that the Obama campaign will reign in advisers and staffers today. No more comments forthcoming on Palin, except for Obama/Biden (hopefully, with less emphasis on Biden). They will choose a strategy that focuses on issues, and ask for surrogate help to demonstrate why Palin is professionally incompetent for the position of VP.
Polls are starting to show landslide and believe me, it won't be long before the downticket republican candidates start to panic. This has the makings of a not-so-slow motion train wreck. But, that's what mavericks do - win some, lose some. Easy come, easy go.
This storm is just beginning. As it gathers strength, Obama and team want to be monitoring the damage from afar.
She's Come Undone
I'm starting to feel sorry for Palin and her family. She seems like a good person, with a solid family...Being thrust onto the national stage before your time says more about the thrusters.
The rollout of bad news is simply stunning. Her family is under seige, and it will extend to friends of the kids like a small-town soap opera. There is some talk of her withdrawal - as usual it is couched the way most support is framed. How many big-league managers read about having ownership's support just before getting canned? It's a comical kiss-of-death to receive that support.
The Republicans must be in near panic mode. It should be shame. These are their chickens coming home to roost.
The rollout of bad news is simply stunning. Her family is under seige, and it will extend to friends of the kids like a small-town soap opera. There is some talk of her withdrawal - as usual it is couched the way most support is framed. How many big-league managers read about having ownership's support just before getting canned? It's a comical kiss-of-death to receive that support.
The Republicans must be in near panic mode. It should be shame. These are their chickens coming home to roost.
Monday, September 1, 2008
Come on, Lucky 7
I'm not an expert on gambling. My experiences with betting - mostly football, some baseball - have been really, really bad. I have had mixed luck with low-stakes poker, mostly playing for the camaraderie, sport, and entertainment. I have also spent more than I could afford at casinos, mostly blackjack tables.
Most of my bad experiences (read: losing enough to feel terrible about it) were the result of what some poker players call "Tilting". I'm not positive, but I think this is an old pinball game reference, where a player gets emotional and then too rough with the pinball machine. When on "Tilt", a gambler is emotionally involved with the game and is not engaging the intellectual component of the mind. The cash flies out much more quickly as the player is desperate to win back the lost dough.
Why do I mention any of this? It seems to me that we overlook McCain's gambling addiction at our peril. My sense is that we'll see more gambles, some doubling-down on Palin, or perhaps just gutter politics. I'm not really sure, and maybe I'm all wet. But I've been in gambling situations before, I've seen people step out of character, even for a moment, when they think they see their pot of goal right in front of them. Almost always it's a mirage.
Keep an eye on the McCain camp. Craps players always think they're about to get hot...they usually think this way right up until they run out of money.
Most of my bad experiences (read: losing enough to feel terrible about it) were the result of what some poker players call "Tilting". I'm not positive, but I think this is an old pinball game reference, where a player gets emotional and then too rough with the pinball machine. When on "Tilt", a gambler is emotionally involved with the game and is not engaging the intellectual component of the mind. The cash flies out much more quickly as the player is desperate to win back the lost dough.
Why do I mention any of this? It seems to me that we overlook McCain's gambling addiction at our peril. My sense is that we'll see more gambles, some doubling-down on Palin, or perhaps just gutter politics. I'm not really sure, and maybe I'm all wet. But I've been in gambling situations before, I've seen people step out of character, even for a moment, when they think they see their pot of goal right in front of them. Almost always it's a mirage.
Keep an eye on the McCain camp. Craps players always think they're about to get hot...they usually think this way right up until they run out of money.
Sunday, August 31, 2008
BS
The AP is pushing back on Palin's claim to have killed the "Bridge to Nowhere." This could be embarrassing for McCain.
Was she vetted?
Was she vetted?
Talk Shows
So far no TeeVee sighting of Palin on talk shows. I'm convinced that the republicans will do all they can to limit her exposure to MSM...we all know how driven the reporters are to get an accurate story. Palin seems bright and energetic, which is a plus for JM, but nobody could be ready for the onslaught that is about to hit her. There's simply too much too learn in too short a time.
The learning curve involves not just information but delivery, body language, choice of words, and confidence. Palin seems to be able to deliver a stump speech fairly confidently, but let's remember that she is mostly singing her life story - not nuancing a policy position to eliminate inconsistencies.
At some point, she will no longer be able to dodge the spotlight. Her performance under trying conditions will speak volumes about her abilities and potential and could go a long way in convincing voters one way or another. McCain cannot keep her from the public - there are just too many unknowns. He must let her sink or swim.
Many conservative writers are not happy with this pick, especially the foreign policy type. The narrative in the MSM has gone from what seems like pleasant surprise to mild disbelief. Risk, gamble, unknown, inexperienced are all words being used to describe this pick.
I might add that reporters have not had time to vet the story line that Palin and McCain are pushing regarding the Alaskan bridge to nowhere. Story is that Palin, being the maverick that she is, blocked a federal earmark for a bridge. There are some newspaper reports that cast doubt on this storyline - for a candidate already embroiled in one lying scandal, not being honest on your first day could spell doom.
The learning curve involves not just information but delivery, body language, choice of words, and confidence. Palin seems to be able to deliver a stump speech fairly confidently, but let's remember that she is mostly singing her life story - not nuancing a policy position to eliminate inconsistencies.
At some point, she will no longer be able to dodge the spotlight. Her performance under trying conditions will speak volumes about her abilities and potential and could go a long way in convincing voters one way or another. McCain cannot keep her from the public - there are just too many unknowns. He must let her sink or swim.
Many conservative writers are not happy with this pick, especially the foreign policy type. The narrative in the MSM has gone from what seems like pleasant surprise to mild disbelief. Risk, gamble, unknown, inexperienced are all words being used to describe this pick.
I might add that reporters have not had time to vet the story line that Palin and McCain are pushing regarding the Alaskan bridge to nowhere. Story is that Palin, being the maverick that she is, blocked a federal earmark for a bridge. There are some newspaper reports that cast doubt on this storyline - for a candidate already embroiled in one lying scandal, not being honest on your first day could spell doom.
More Wood
More wood to stack today. We hope to burn 5 cords this winter. I'm also planning to add insulation and plug up any air leaks - this won't be easy as our home is built well.
I'm a little worried about those that are unable to burn wood. Some in my family are having a difficult time with energy bills - one of my relatives recently told me that they cut their wood order in half because of the rising cost of cord wood.
This is simply not going to get cheaper, only more and more expensive. Our country is in dire need of alternative forms of energy that can be retrofitted to homes. Government subsidies that accelerate these technologies and make it more affordable for homeowners would spark an entrepreneurial revolution in our country. New homes could have these technologies built-in, while existing homes would receive retros.
This cannot be more difficult than when we moved plumbing indoors, or sending a man to the moon, or splitting the atom. We can do this.
I'm a little worried about those that are unable to burn wood. Some in my family are having a difficult time with energy bills - one of my relatives recently told me that they cut their wood order in half because of the rising cost of cord wood.
This is simply not going to get cheaper, only more and more expensive. Our country is in dire need of alternative forms of energy that can be retrofitted to homes. Government subsidies that accelerate these technologies and make it more affordable for homeowners would spark an entrepreneurial revolution in our country. New homes could have these technologies built-in, while existing homes would receive retros.
This cannot be more difficult than when we moved plumbing indoors, or sending a man to the moon, or splitting the atom. We can do this.
Saturday, August 30, 2008
Good Wood
Been out stacking wood all day. Winter's coming.
Caught some TeeVee while eating lunch and it seems like the Palin pick is designed to pick a fight over experience. At every opportunity, when the topic turns to Palin's inexperience, the repub talking head invariably informs all the viewers that she has more experience than Obama.
I have been befuddled by McCain's choice for many reasons. Not the least of which is how much energy the republicans are going to expend on defending the choice. It seems, at least at first impression, that they are willing to do this because they can highlight what they see as Obama's inexperience.
It's a long shot, but what really does McCain have left? He's been consistently behind in the national polls, behind or too close to call in almost every swing state, and he's thrown everything he has at Obama. Desperate times call for desperate measures, I suppose.
I keep reading that Palin shouldn't be criticized for accepting the VP offer when she has 5 children. I whole-heartedly agree, the problem is, I haven't read any criticism of her for just that reason. I have a feeling that these arguments are being built as an inoculation against any criticism of Palin - another disingenuous attempt to affront women. Good luck with that.
See you back in the Senate, Mr. McCain.
Caught some TeeVee while eating lunch and it seems like the Palin pick is designed to pick a fight over experience. At every opportunity, when the topic turns to Palin's inexperience, the repub talking head invariably informs all the viewers that she has more experience than Obama.
I have been befuddled by McCain's choice for many reasons. Not the least of which is how much energy the republicans are going to expend on defending the choice. It seems, at least at first impression, that they are willing to do this because they can highlight what they see as Obama's inexperience.
It's a long shot, but what really does McCain have left? He's been consistently behind in the national polls, behind or too close to call in almost every swing state, and he's thrown everything he has at Obama. Desperate times call for desperate measures, I suppose.
I keep reading that Palin shouldn't be criticized for accepting the VP offer when she has 5 children. I whole-heartedly agree, the problem is, I haven't read any criticism of her for just that reason. I have a feeling that these arguments are being built as an inoculation against any criticism of Palin - another disingenuous attempt to affront women. Good luck with that.
See you back in the Senate, Mr. McCain.
Palinode
PALINode - appropriately, a formal statement of retraction.
Jumpin' Jeebus, this didn't take long.
LA Times Headline:
McCain's choice of Palin is a risk
It is simply surreal that McCain, in one fell swoop, could turn what was a fairly significant political advantage, judgement and experience, into a political liability. His pick of Palin reeks of political tactic, not of putting the country first. McCain has succeeded in revving up the base a little, but this will ebb shortly. He has just created a huge problem with independents...the voices of the conservative right are not being kind about Palin. The chorus will only grow louder, as McCain simply does not have the deep ties within the Republican party to quell what is sure to be out and out groaning over the next weeks.
McCain and the republicans have sunk tens of millions of dollars into a campaign designed to make Obama look risky and unprepared. Now it is McCain who looks unprepared - he met Palin only twice for a few moments each time before her selection? Now it is McCain who looks risky - a governor for less than two years of a state with 600,000 people a heartbeat away from leader of the free world? Now it is McCain who puts politics above country - Obama chose wisely. Biden as VP signals a seriousness about governing and signals that we will have a healthy national debate about foreign policy. Palin may help McCain excite the base, but if elected on election day, her carriage turns back into a pumpkin.
Stunned is still my reaction, and I remain convinced that this will implode on McCain in the not too distant future.
Jumpin' Jeebus, this didn't take long.
LA Times Headline:
McCain's choice of Palin is a risk
It is simply surreal that McCain, in one fell swoop, could turn what was a fairly significant political advantage, judgement and experience, into a political liability. His pick of Palin reeks of political tactic, not of putting the country first. McCain has succeeded in revving up the base a little, but this will ebb shortly. He has just created a huge problem with independents...the voices of the conservative right are not being kind about Palin. The chorus will only grow louder, as McCain simply does not have the deep ties within the Republican party to quell what is sure to be out and out groaning over the next weeks.
McCain and the republicans have sunk tens of millions of dollars into a campaign designed to make Obama look risky and unprepared. Now it is McCain who looks unprepared - he met Palin only twice for a few moments each time before her selection? Now it is McCain who looks risky - a governor for less than two years of a state with 600,000 people a heartbeat away from leader of the free world? Now it is McCain who puts politics above country - Obama chose wisely. Biden as VP signals a seriousness about governing and signals that we will have a healthy national debate about foreign policy. Palin may help McCain excite the base, but if elected on election day, her carriage turns back into a pumpkin.
Stunned is still my reaction, and I remain convinced that this will implode on McCain in the not too distant future.
Friday, August 29, 2008
Penny-wise
The McCain camp did an excellent job today of disrupting the accolades that Obama was receiving for his speech last night. Tactically, it was a brilliant move.
Keep an eye out for the changing story line in the MSM as the Palin pick goes from surprise to doubt. This won't take long.
I've seen some skimpy comparisons to Tim Kaine's resume, arguing that it is sexist to say Palin is not qualified for VP. It's not sexist. Although Kaine's resume is a little thin, it is much more substantive than Palin's. By a lot. Maybe it's more sexist to put a woman on the ticket because of her gender rather than her qualifications. After all, nobody can argue that there aren't Republican women who are infinitely more qualified.
The storms in the Gulf are posing a very big PR problem for the repubs. The convention had to be designed to inform about Palin...this is a big bucket of mush for them right now.
The excitement of this pick will wane for all but the most ardent religious right voters. The MSM will rightly start to question the wisdom and judgement of this pick. They will get plenty of help from conservative republicans who do take this pick seriously, not to mention those of whom were pretty well strung along during the VP stakes.
This is going to get ugly.
Keep an eye out for the changing story line in the MSM as the Palin pick goes from surprise to doubt. This won't take long.
I've seen some skimpy comparisons to Tim Kaine's resume, arguing that it is sexist to say Palin is not qualified for VP. It's not sexist. Although Kaine's resume is a little thin, it is much more substantive than Palin's. By a lot. Maybe it's more sexist to put a woman on the ticket because of her gender rather than her qualifications. After all, nobody can argue that there aren't Republican women who are infinitely more qualified.
The storms in the Gulf are posing a very big PR problem for the repubs. The convention had to be designed to inform about Palin...this is a big bucket of mush for them right now.
The excitement of this pick will wane for all but the most ardent religious right voters. The MSM will rightly start to question the wisdom and judgement of this pick. They will get plenty of help from conservative republicans who do take this pick seriously, not to mention those of whom were pretty well strung along during the VP stakes.
This is going to get ugly.
The Palin Pick
There's a lot of head scratching going on regarding McCain's VP pick. Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska is McCain's choice.
This makes perfect sense to me on many levels.
1. McCain has picked someone who will not overshadow him. She has no political experience whatsoever, and allows McCain to remain the masthead of the ticket. As the AP put it:
She has more experience catching fish as a former commercial fisherwoman than dealing with foreign policy or national affairs.
2. McCain is a gambler. His penchant for high-rolling is well-known. This may be the biggest political gamble in history. Incidentally, how is it that McCain's love of gambling isn't an automatic dis-qualifier for the highest office in the land?
3. McCain's going after Hillary Dems. Make no mistake, this pick is purely political. McCain must think these voters are up for grabs...are they? I'm not sure. The Dems sure did focus on women's issues at the convention and Biden's stellar record on women's issues was front and center, leading one to believe that the Dems are concerned. Does Palin do it for these voters? I'm not sure, but I think not. Primary voters are more informed about the issues and Palin's positions will not be well-received. Moreover, what does Palin bring to the governing table? Not much, and surely not as much as other, much more qualified candidates. What advise to you see Governor Palin giving McCain on any issue, foreign or domestic? It doesn't play - this has a huge chance to implode.
4. McCain is trying to give independent voters who might vote for Obama because of the historic nature of his candidacy a reason to vote for McCain. The first woman vice-president of our country. This is dicey (intended gambling pun) because if the pick is seen as purely political, it may have the opposite effect. Independents could be repulsed by the latent opportunism seen in this pick.
There are many more layers to this. It's exciting today, but what happens when the initial surprise wears and we begin to learn more about Palin? It also seems pretty late in the game to introduce a new player to a skittish electorate. There simply isn't time to introduce her on a national level. Further, any Palin gaffe, large or small will be greatly magnified because there is so little known about her. There is absolutely no recovery time for any errors. Don't expect anything but message from her - no unscripted moments.
Game on.
UPDATE: You just cannot overstate how unserious this selection is. I understand that both McCain and Obama have holes to fill, but how does Palin do this for McCain? I feel pretty confident that the adults in the Repub party are not happy with this big middle finger pick from McCain.
This makes perfect sense to me on many levels.
1. McCain has picked someone who will not overshadow him. She has no political experience whatsoever, and allows McCain to remain the masthead of the ticket. As the AP put it:
She has more experience catching fish as a former commercial fisherwoman than dealing with foreign policy or national affairs.
2. McCain is a gambler. His penchant for high-rolling is well-known. This may be the biggest political gamble in history. Incidentally, how is it that McCain's love of gambling isn't an automatic dis-qualifier for the highest office in the land?
3. McCain's going after Hillary Dems. Make no mistake, this pick is purely political. McCain must think these voters are up for grabs...are they? I'm not sure. The Dems sure did focus on women's issues at the convention and Biden's stellar record on women's issues was front and center, leading one to believe that the Dems are concerned. Does Palin do it for these voters? I'm not sure, but I think not. Primary voters are more informed about the issues and Palin's positions will not be well-received. Moreover, what does Palin bring to the governing table? Not much, and surely not as much as other, much more qualified candidates. What advise to you see Governor Palin giving McCain on any issue, foreign or domestic? It doesn't play - this has a huge chance to implode.
4. McCain is trying to give independent voters who might vote for Obama because of the historic nature of his candidacy a reason to vote for McCain. The first woman vice-president of our country. This is dicey (intended gambling pun) because if the pick is seen as purely political, it may have the opposite effect. Independents could be repulsed by the latent opportunism seen in this pick.
There are many more layers to this. It's exciting today, but what happens when the initial surprise wears and we begin to learn more about Palin? It also seems pretty late in the game to introduce a new player to a skittish electorate. There simply isn't time to introduce her on a national level. Further, any Palin gaffe, large or small will be greatly magnified because there is so little known about her. There is absolutely no recovery time for any errors. Don't expect anything but message from her - no unscripted moments.
Game on.
UPDATE: You just cannot overstate how unserious this selection is. I understand that both McCain and Obama have holes to fill, but how does Palin do this for McCain? I feel pretty confident that the adults in the Repub party are not happy with this big middle finger pick from McCain.
Gustav is not a Republican
Gustav is bearing down on the Gulf of Mexico. I wonder if James Dobson and his religious fundies are regretting this:
Conservative James Dobson's Colorado Springs-based Focus on the Family posted what it called a humorous Internet video calling for people to pray for rain during Obama's speech.
Looks like Gus will make landfall sometime at the start of the week, not so coincidently when the Repubs are gathering in the Twin Cities. When you create a vicious cycle, as the republicans have so skillfully done, it's hard to escape the shadow of your karma.
Sometimes the universe crams a lesson down your throat.
Conservative James Dobson's Colorado Springs-based Focus on the Family posted what it called a humorous Internet video calling for people to pray for rain during Obama's speech.
Looks like Gus will make landfall sometime at the start of the week, not so coincidently when the Repubs are gathering in the Twin Cities. When you create a vicious cycle, as the republicans have so skillfully done, it's hard to escape the shadow of your karma.
Sometimes the universe crams a lesson down your throat.
Great Speech
My first reaction to Obama's speech last night was over the top. I waited until this a.m. to post some thoughts so that I could fully process.
I thought his speech hit the target on three major areas.
1. Obama re-assured Democratic voters that he's a Democrat. He outlined specific proposals that he will champion as president. I must say he was somewhat light in discussing how he would pay for these proposals and see a Republican line of attack focusing on tax and spend. What else is new?
2. Obama tied McCain not only to GWB, but to failed Republican policies. His line about making the Republicans "own their failures." was simply brilliant. I have been frustrated because many of the Dem speakers have only said that McCain is more of the same, without showing how. Obama hit that hard last night saying McCain voted with Bush 90% of the time and Obama wasn't willing to take a 10% chance on change.
3. Obama showed he was a fighter. He took Biden's mom's advice and bloodied McCain's nose. Obama made McCain look small, very small by taking on McCain's negative advertising. Saying there was too much at stake in this election for the same old partisan playbook, Obama directly challenged McCain to grow up and be serious. We all put our country first.
Overall, Obama did all this and more with flourish and a seriousness that demonstrated his capacity to be commander-in-chief. He blunted what is sure to be several lines of attack next week.
It's hard to imagine the Repubs following this spectacle. For substance, for imagery, for the all-star lineup of political talent.
I thought his speech hit the target on three major areas.
1. Obama re-assured Democratic voters that he's a Democrat. He outlined specific proposals that he will champion as president. I must say he was somewhat light in discussing how he would pay for these proposals and see a Republican line of attack focusing on tax and spend. What else is new?
2. Obama tied McCain not only to GWB, but to failed Republican policies. His line about making the Republicans "own their failures." was simply brilliant. I have been frustrated because many of the Dem speakers have only said that McCain is more of the same, without showing how. Obama hit that hard last night saying McCain voted with Bush 90% of the time and Obama wasn't willing to take a 10% chance on change.
3. Obama showed he was a fighter. He took Biden's mom's advice and bloodied McCain's nose. Obama made McCain look small, very small by taking on McCain's negative advertising. Saying there was too much at stake in this election for the same old partisan playbook, Obama directly challenged McCain to grow up and be serious. We all put our country first.
Overall, Obama did all this and more with flourish and a seriousness that demonstrated his capacity to be commander-in-chief. He blunted what is sure to be several lines of attack next week.
It's hard to imagine the Repubs following this spectacle. For substance, for imagery, for the all-star lineup of political talent.
Thursday, August 28, 2008
Freakin Barney Smith
Man, I can't believe Obama dug up a real life Barney Smith. Mr. Smith, from Indiana, told his hard-luck economic story and came up with the line of the night. "It's time we had a president who cared more about Barney Smith than Smith, Barney."
These guys do know what they're doing. I continue to be impressed.
These guys do know what they're doing. I continue to be impressed.
Generals for Obama
The Dems just trotted out retired generals and admirals who support Obama. Got me to thinking that we hadn't heard from Colin Powell in some time. At least not since Bill Kristol announced that Powell's endorsement of Obama was imminent.
The Obama campaign has been excellent at orchestrating endorsements and supporters. Throughout the primary season they used fantastic tactics to blunt any Clinton momentum. I suspect we will see more of this in the general election, including endorsements by high-profiles like Powell.
In many ways, the endorsements are a microcosm of Obama strategy. They do seem to be holding back their punches while McCain throws everything but the kitchen sink at them. I believe that the gloves come off after the convention, boxing McCain into corner after corner. Through the last few weeks, the McCain camp has been better at staying on message. This will change when they are on the defensive.
The Obama campaign has been excellent at orchestrating endorsements and supporters. Throughout the primary season they used fantastic tactics to blunt any Clinton momentum. I suspect we will see more of this in the general election, including endorsements by high-profiles like Powell.
In many ways, the endorsements are a microcosm of Obama strategy. They do seem to be holding back their punches while McCain throws everything but the kitchen sink at them. I believe that the gloves come off after the convention, boxing McCain into corner after corner. Through the last few weeks, the McCain camp has been better at staying on message. This will change when they are on the defensive.
The real war President
John McCain's new campaign slogan:
More War, Fewer Jobs.
It's a can't miss selling proposition. I simply can't remember a more bellicose, belligerent, or dangerous candidate running for President. Really.
More War, Fewer Jobs.
It's a can't miss selling proposition. I simply can't remember a more bellicose, belligerent, or dangerous candidate running for President. Really.
Republican Blood Letting
There's some interesting back battles going on in the Republican primary for the NH District 1 congressional seat. Jeb Bradley, who formerly held the seat before getting upset by Carol Shea-Porter in '06, has been running some pretty nasty television ads. His opponent, John Stephens, is crying foul, and several prominent Republicans have spoken out for Stephens, calling on Bradley to remove the ads. Thus far the Bradley campaign has continued the negative campaigning.
I don't know enough about Stephens to have a strong opinion of the truthfullness of the ads. But this story has legs and gives me hope on two levels. First, the proximity of the primary to the general election does not offer much time to heal deep wounds, and from what I can gather, Bradley is hitting hard and low. The Republican laurel may prove to be too thorny a crown for Bradley should he win. On the other hand, Bradley voters may also be disaffected should Stephens win. New Hampshire voters aren't crazy about negative advertising - we want policy details. A good part of the state still uses the town meeting form of government and people are knowledgeable about issues. Bradley, I think, has opened Pandora's box and isn't quite sure how to close it.
On another level, it seems to me that the presidential campaign of John McCain is based primarily on tearing down Obama. Unless I'm totally misreading the situation, I can't see McCain's tactics working in NH. He seems to be hoping for his maverick image to propel him through here.
Kerry won NH in '04 against a sitting war-time president. I simply can't see NH reversing course and rewarding the Republicans with four more years.
I don't know enough about Stephens to have a strong opinion of the truthfullness of the ads. But this story has legs and gives me hope on two levels. First, the proximity of the primary to the general election does not offer much time to heal deep wounds, and from what I can gather, Bradley is hitting hard and low. The Republican laurel may prove to be too thorny a crown for Bradley should he win. On the other hand, Bradley voters may also be disaffected should Stephens win. New Hampshire voters aren't crazy about negative advertising - we want policy details. A good part of the state still uses the town meeting form of government and people are knowledgeable about issues. Bradley, I think, has opened Pandora's box and isn't quite sure how to close it.
On another level, it seems to me that the presidential campaign of John McCain is based primarily on tearing down Obama. Unless I'm totally misreading the situation, I can't see McCain's tactics working in NH. He seems to be hoping for his maverick image to propel him through here.
Kerry won NH in '04 against a sitting war-time president. I simply can't see NH reversing course and rewarding the Republicans with four more years.
The Big Night.
Tonight's the big speech from Obama. I think he's up to it.
The republicans are already amping up the rhetoric about the stage craft for the speech - something about the columns in the background. It's pretty difficult to believe that petty statements like that help their candidate. Even fervent supporters of McCain have to recognize the historic proportions of Obama's nomination...at least, I think they must.
The Obama campaign picked a fighter in Biden, and I think they are going to take it to the republicans over the next 8 weeks. Nothing personal. Simply bash them over the heads with their own incompetence. It should be fun to watch.
The republicans are already amping up the rhetoric about the stage craft for the speech - something about the columns in the background. It's pretty difficult to believe that petty statements like that help their candidate. Even fervent supporters of McCain have to recognize the historic proportions of Obama's nomination...at least, I think they must.
The Obama campaign picked a fighter in Biden, and I think they are going to take it to the republicans over the next 8 weeks. Nothing personal. Simply bash them over the heads with their own incompetence. It should be fun to watch.
Sunday, August 10, 2008
Obama's VP?
I think that Hilary is back in the picture. Long shot, sure, but Obama has been more than coy in recent weeks. His appearances and visits with Tim Kaine and Evan Baye have been designed to create buzz about the VP pick and it's been very successful. The chattering class has been giving their very important opinions about each and how they might help Obama.
This is called controlling the message. Obama's team has been incredibly gifted at controlling the cable news cycle, drowning out any message that McCain wants to get out. It is impossible to overstate how effective this tactic has been. Leaking out cancelled events and meeting times, campaign events juggled to suggest breaking news, and all this without overt manipulation. Obama is demonstrating that soft power can be extremely effective.
Which got me thinking. Conventional wisdom is that an Obama/Clinton ticket can't work, that neither trusts the other completely. What if the CW is wrong? Can you imagine if the VP pick is kept under wraps until the convention? Now imagine that the pick will be announced at the convention - in prime time. Ratings would be unbelievable. And if Obama and Clinton walk out on stage together to make this announcement, it would be an incredible political moment.
Now, there are many downsides to this ticket, no doubt. Count me as one who distrusts the Clintons immensely, but if Obama and Clinton can mend their fences and come together, it could be an unbeatable ticket.
This is called controlling the message. Obama's team has been incredibly gifted at controlling the cable news cycle, drowning out any message that McCain wants to get out. It is impossible to overstate how effective this tactic has been. Leaking out cancelled events and meeting times, campaign events juggled to suggest breaking news, and all this without overt manipulation. Obama is demonstrating that soft power can be extremely effective.
Which got me thinking. Conventional wisdom is that an Obama/Clinton ticket can't work, that neither trusts the other completely. What if the CW is wrong? Can you imagine if the VP pick is kept under wraps until the convention? Now imagine that the pick will be announced at the convention - in prime time. Ratings would be unbelievable. And if Obama and Clinton walk out on stage together to make this announcement, it would be an incredible political moment.
Now, there are many downsides to this ticket, no doubt. Count me as one who distrusts the Clintons immensely, but if Obama and Clinton can mend their fences and come together, it could be an unbeatable ticket.
Obama's rope-a-dope
As more than a casual observer of modern-day politics, I have been appreciating Obama'a political gifts. Win or lose this race, and I think it is his to win, he has demonstrated that he is a brilliant politician. It is the type of brilliance, though, that does not blind you. Obama is easy to underestimate...he is understated, he is positive, he is wry.
Obama watched the republicans disassemble the Kerry/Edwards ticket in '04. McCain has most of the '04 republican crew on his staff, so the strategy is fairly easy to predict. This group is attacking Obama on his strength (popularity, ability to draw large crowds, excellent speaking ability) and are hoping that they can get under Obama's skin and make him seem angry. Thus far, Obama has been cool (sometimes too much so) and more recently has turned to a little mockery to strike back. This seems to be a better counter for Obama - as he appears to be having some fun with McCain, which should irritate McCain all the more.
Kerry picked Edwards sometime in June in '04 giving the repubs much time to focus on the ticket. This year, Obama has kept the repubs (and the media) guessing - as each day goes by, the republicans lose another day to gather information and formulate attacks on the ticket. And while this is all happening, the focus remains Obama vs McCain, young vs age, new vs old, change vs same. I think Obama wins in these mini-battles.
Similar to his battle with Clinton, Obama is absorbing all the attacks by McCain. He is dodging and weaving, allowing McCain to lob all he has at him. As long as McCain fails to connect, and he hasn't, Obama is content to keep his campaign on the high road and control the message. McCain must be completely irritated at not being able to get his message out. Obama speaks, and everyone listens; McCain speaks and everyone yawns.
Obama is using the Olympics to cast a very positive image of himself. His latest ad doesn't even mention McCain. As Obama introduces himself to more of the public, what they are seeing simply doesn't jive with McCain's attacks.
I see more of this going through Labor Day, with the possibility of McCain going more negative. Clinton made many of the same mistakes that McCain is making. Too negative, too much focus on her opponent, not enough focus on local issues and the GOTV efforts.
Having watched the republicans destroy many good democrats over the years, I must admit that there are times when I want BO to strike back harder. But I look at what he has accomplished - and chiefly among those accomplishments is beating the premier brand in Democratic politics in the past 40 years, and becoming the first African-American nominee for President of the US. He has surrounded himself with big thinkers and intelligent people. Sure, they're going to make gaffes, but so far they have limited the damage.
I think they deserve the right to run the campaign as they deem without second guessing - at least not from my section in the bleachers.
Obama watched the republicans disassemble the Kerry/Edwards ticket in '04. McCain has most of the '04 republican crew on his staff, so the strategy is fairly easy to predict. This group is attacking Obama on his strength (popularity, ability to draw large crowds, excellent speaking ability) and are hoping that they can get under Obama's skin and make him seem angry. Thus far, Obama has been cool (sometimes too much so) and more recently has turned to a little mockery to strike back. This seems to be a better counter for Obama - as he appears to be having some fun with McCain, which should irritate McCain all the more.
Kerry picked Edwards sometime in June in '04 giving the repubs much time to focus on the ticket. This year, Obama has kept the repubs (and the media) guessing - as each day goes by, the republicans lose another day to gather information and formulate attacks on the ticket. And while this is all happening, the focus remains Obama vs McCain, young vs age, new vs old, change vs same. I think Obama wins in these mini-battles.
Similar to his battle with Clinton, Obama is absorbing all the attacks by McCain. He is dodging and weaving, allowing McCain to lob all he has at him. As long as McCain fails to connect, and he hasn't, Obama is content to keep his campaign on the high road and control the message. McCain must be completely irritated at not being able to get his message out. Obama speaks, and everyone listens; McCain speaks and everyone yawns.
Obama is using the Olympics to cast a very positive image of himself. His latest ad doesn't even mention McCain. As Obama introduces himself to more of the public, what they are seeing simply doesn't jive with McCain's attacks.
I see more of this going through Labor Day, with the possibility of McCain going more negative. Clinton made many of the same mistakes that McCain is making. Too negative, too much focus on her opponent, not enough focus on local issues and the GOTV efforts.
Having watched the republicans destroy many good democrats over the years, I must admit that there are times when I want BO to strike back harder. But I look at what he has accomplished - and chiefly among those accomplishments is beating the premier brand in Democratic politics in the past 40 years, and becoming the first African-American nominee for President of the US. He has surrounded himself with big thinkers and intelligent people. Sure, they're going to make gaffes, but so far they have limited the damage.
I think they deserve the right to run the campaign as they deem without second guessing - at least not from my section in the bleachers.
Friday, August 8, 2008
The future of energy
There are so many reasons why 2008 is a watershed election year in the US. Our foriegn policy is in a shambles, our economy is reeling from a banking crisis that has yet to hit bottom, and there are stark choices to be made regarding our dependence on oil. It is this oil dependence that has me most concerned.
The republicans are essentially using the high cost of oil as a political wedge with no clear solution. Of course, they are touting more drilling, here, there, and everywhere, but this is not a viable answer. Sure, there's a limited amount of oil reserves off our shores, but if we start drilling today, we're not likely to see any oil for a decade or so. On top of this, the reserves barely amount to a 7 month world supply - certainly not enough to affect global prices.
We are rapidly approaching the tipping point of oil as energy. It is becoming increasingly expensive, to the point where it may be too costly to maintain the "American" way of life. We need to make significant changes in our wasteful lifestyles - from driving way too much (I'm constantly amazed at the number of cars on our highways with just one occupant), to excessive use of air conditioning, to wasteful dietary habits - and we need to develop alternative energy sources. We may be nearing the point where we can no longer afford oil, nor will we be able to afford to develop these alternative energy sources.
What's needed are sound policies; better infrastructure for public transportation, tax incentives to manufacture and purchase fuel efficient cars, higher taxes on petroleum based products - particularly for non-essential items, and initiatives to educate consumers on how to be more energy savvy.
The republicans spent the better part of the last two weeks mocking Obama on tire pressure, but it is precisely these types of efforts that will help wean us off oil.
The republicans are essentially using the high cost of oil as a political wedge with no clear solution. Of course, they are touting more drilling, here, there, and everywhere, but this is not a viable answer. Sure, there's a limited amount of oil reserves off our shores, but if we start drilling today, we're not likely to see any oil for a decade or so. On top of this, the reserves barely amount to a 7 month world supply - certainly not enough to affect global prices.
We are rapidly approaching the tipping point of oil as energy. It is becoming increasingly expensive, to the point where it may be too costly to maintain the "American" way of life. We need to make significant changes in our wasteful lifestyles - from driving way too much (I'm constantly amazed at the number of cars on our highways with just one occupant), to excessive use of air conditioning, to wasteful dietary habits - and we need to develop alternative energy sources. We may be nearing the point where we can no longer afford oil, nor will we be able to afford to develop these alternative energy sources.
What's needed are sound policies; better infrastructure for public transportation, tax incentives to manufacture and purchase fuel efficient cars, higher taxes on petroleum based products - particularly for non-essential items, and initiatives to educate consumers on how to be more energy savvy.
The republicans spent the better part of the last two weeks mocking Obama on tire pressure, but it is precisely these types of efforts that will help wean us off oil.
Thursday, August 7, 2008
Aberrant Behavior
I'm no longer surprised when the cable outlets focus like a laser beam on missing white children. Particularly when the parent/spouse/sibling is under suspicion. There's a baby missing in Florida, and the mother is the chief/only suspect at this point, and the cable shows are devoting HOURS to this.
In a way, we have become such a voyeuristic society, and prefer to recieve our scandalous entertainment through the aberrant lives of others. This also makes sense with what the offerings are on television. The TeeVee is loaded with reality-based shows and other popular shows have included dramas where people fight for their survival without any technological advantages. Pure shit, in other words.
Back to the baby in Florida. Now, I'm not saying this doesn't merit some news coverage. It almost certainly does, particularly local coverage. News coverage can create awareness and generate information that might help solve the case.
But that's not what's happening. We're getting full-blown, minute by minute analysis of the case, complete with psychoanalysis of the mom, grandparents, siblings and neighbors. Jeepers, they're even broadcasting telephone conversations between the family members.
Some of this is creepy. Some of it is sad. Some of it is ugly. All in all, it says more about the viewers and the state of broadcast media than it does of this poor family.
In a way, we have become such a voyeuristic society, and prefer to recieve our scandalous entertainment through the aberrant lives of others. This also makes sense with what the offerings are on television. The TeeVee is loaded with reality-based shows and other popular shows have included dramas where people fight for their survival without any technological advantages. Pure shit, in other words.
Back to the baby in Florida. Now, I'm not saying this doesn't merit some news coverage. It almost certainly does, particularly local coverage. News coverage can create awareness and generate information that might help solve the case.
But that's not what's happening. We're getting full-blown, minute by minute analysis of the case, complete with psychoanalysis of the mom, grandparents, siblings and neighbors. Jeepers, they're even broadcasting telephone conversations between the family members.
Some of this is creepy. Some of it is sad. Some of it is ugly. All in all, it says more about the viewers and the state of broadcast media than it does of this poor family.
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