Friday, February 22, 2008

Moving the goalposts

Just to be clear about the kumbaya moment last night. I think this is the best strategy for Clinton. Her campaign is clearly trying to show a vulnerable Hillary – witness the “Hillary, we got your back” signs at rallies. Her comments regarding the super delegates and the “we’ll be fine” moment are designed to blur the edges of a tough politician.

With this strategic shift, I’m also sensing tactical maneuvering from the Clinton camp. Bill mentioned earlier this week that if Hillary wins Texas and Ohio, he believes she’ll be the nominee. If she doesn’t win, he doesn’t think she can do it. The MSM echo chamber has been focused on the negative aspect of that statement, and Hillary has only said that Texas and Ohio are critical not must wins. I’d like to focus on the other half.

Essentially, what Bill did, was continue a narrative that began with James Carville. Just before the Wisconsin primary, Carville said that Hillary was poised to begin the greatest political comeback in history, by winning Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Bill is building upon this theme, suggesting that wins in these upcoming primaries will give the nomination to Hillary.

So, forget about the delegate count, forget about the previous primaries and caucuses, and forget about the popular vote. It all comes down to TX, OH, and PA. Brilliant.